Fantasy Feud Daily Fantasy Football Helper: Week 10
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Not sure who to pick this week? Let our algorithms help.
Fantasy Feud Week 10 Optimal Lineup
Remember to always check our up-to-date optimal lineups here.
Falcons' quarterback Matt Ryan has been less than stellar over his past few games. Ryan has only thrown for more than 275 yards once since Week 5, while posting only 5 touchdowns with three interceptions over that span. The good news for Matty Ice and his owners is that if ever there was a week where he should bounce back it would be this week against division rival Tampa Bay.
The Buccaneers' pass defense has been absolutely horrible so far this season. They rank dead last in the league in Adjusted Defensive Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) and have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Tampa has also allowed the second most passing yards per game (285) and second-most passing touchdowns (18) in the NFL while forcing only 12 turnovers on the season, which is tied for 17th in the league.
The first time these two division rivals met this season Ryan threw for 286 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions in an absolute blowout. This week, Atlanta comes into this game fresh off of their bye and should look to test Tampa Bay's secondary with Julio Jones early and often, just as they did in their first meeting. Do not hesitate to plug Matty Ice into your lineup in all formats.
Whereas Ryan comes into this week looking to rebound from recent struggles, Carson Palmer looks to build upon his hot start to the season with another strong outing against the Rams. Palmer has thrown for at least 250 yards in all but one game this season - he threw for 249 last week against Dallas - and has thrown multiple touchdowns in each of his five games he has played this year. Additionally, Palmer is taking care of the football this season. The Cardinals' quarterback has only thrown two interceptions this season, an aspect of the game which he has struggled to keep under control throughout his career.
Although they come into this week on different trajectories, the one thing that Palmer and Ryan do have in common this week is a great matchup. Much like Tampa Bay, the Rams have not been able to slow down opposing passing games at all this season. St. Louis ranks 27th in the league against the pass according to numberFire metrics and has allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks through Week 9. Considering the exceptional weapons at Palmers disposal (Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, Andre Ellington, John Brown, etc.) and the excellent matchup against the Rams, Palmer makes a spectacular play this week.
At running back, our algorithms love Matt Forte this week and it's easy to understand why. Forte has been an absolute beast this season. The Bears' running back has rushed for the seventh most yards per game in the league at 70.3, ranks third in yards from scrimmage at 1,052 and is second in the league with 58 receptions, behind only Antonio Brown. Forte also ranks second in the league among all running backs in Total NEP behind only Le'Veon Bell.
Forte makes a strong play pretty much every week, but with the Bears hosting the Packers this week Forte gets an added boost due to Green Bay's inability to stop the run. The Packers rank 31st in the league in Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP, have allowed the most rushing yards per game in the NFL (153.5) and have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs through Week 9. On top of that, the last time these two teams faced off Forte torched the Packers for 171 total yards with 5 receptions, and I expect a similar performance from the Bears' star this week. Forte is the top play on the board at the running back position this week.
The theme of this article has really been taking advantage of plus-matchups, and that continues at the wide receiver position. Although Michael Crabtree has been in a bit of a slump as of late, a matchup with the Saints could help remedy that. New Orleans has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season and come into Week 10 ranked 22nd against the pass according to our metrics.
In a game that has the second highest over/under on the board this week at 49 - behind only the Packers and Bears at 53.5 - the 49ers should put up a lot of points this week, and Crabtree could be a major beneficiary. Despite his recent struggles, the 49ers receiver is second on the team in targets, receptions and receiving yards and is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns. Crabtree is averaging 7.5 targets per game. If he sees that many targets this week against the Saints' soft defense he should have no trouble busting out of his slump this week.
The other wide receiver our algorithms recommend this week is Markus Wheaton. Wheaton got off to a hot start this season, catching at least four balls in each of his first four games, but went through a rough stretch from Week 5 through Week 7. Over that span the Steelers' wideout caught only 5 balls for 50 yards, including a zero catch game against Houston in Week 7. Since then Wheaton has bounced back in a big way. In the past two weeks - with Ben Roethlisberger putting up historic numbers - Wheaton has caught 7 balls for 118 yards and his only 2 touchdowns of the season.
Pittsburgh's passing attack is clicking on all cylinders right now, and there's no reason to believe they will slow down this week against the Jets. New York has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season and has already given up a whopping 24 passing touchdowns on the year. With Antonio Brown playing like the best wide receiver on the planet and Martavis Bryant emerging as a third threat in the Steelers' pass game, Wheaton should see a lot of one-on-one coverage against the Jets' awful secondary. The Steelers' wide receiver makes a strong play in all formats, especially considering his minuscule $63,200 price tag.