NFL Draft Betting: Which CeeDee Lamb Props Should You Zero in On?
CeeDee Lamb has found himself in a position to hear his name called early in the NFL Draft, as teams are lining up for the Oklahoma product. Lamb ended his Sooners' career as one of the best wide receivers in program history, finishing second in career receiving touchdowns (32) and third in receiving yards (3,292) while averaging 19.0 yards per reception.
He's a big play waiting to happen, and he's arguably the No. 1 wide receiver in this class -- in competition with Alabama's duo of Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs III for the honor.
FanDuel Sportsbook pegs Lamb's draft position line at 12.5, with the under at -190, compared to the over at +125. Lamb is also +170 to be drafted in the top 10 and -120 to be the first wide receiver selected. Let's take a look at which of those lines you should bet on.
Lamb recorded a ridiculous 82.3% catch rate as a sophomore for Oklahoma, catching 65 of 79 targets from Kyler Murray across 14 games. With Jalen Hurts in 2019, Lamb caught 62 of 94 passes (66%) for the lowest catch rate of his collegiate career, but he posted his second-most receptions as well as a career high in yards (1,327) and touchdowns (14). His target share during his final season was also a career-best 24.7%.
In his 40 career games at Oklahoma, Lamb has scored a touchdown in 22 of them (55%), and he recorded a multi-score game in 7 of 40 games (17.5%) while going over 100 receiving yards in 14 (35%).
NFL.com compares Lamb to Chad Johnson, while PlayerProfiler comps him to the greatest receiver in the NFL history, Jerry Rice. That's a lofty comparison for any player, but Lamb certainly has the tools to be an elite target.
Where Will He Most Likely Go?
At a little over 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds, Lamb has the size and speed (4.5 40-yard dash) to be a number-one wide receiver in the league. Lamb's name will likely be called anywhere from No. 8 back to No. 15. The top landing spots for Lamb start with the Cardinals (No. 8), Jags (No. 9), Jets (No. 11), Raiders (No. 12), 49ers (No. 13), and Broncos (No. 15).
All mock draft season, Lamb has been a popular selection for Vegas at No. 12, and that's why his under 12.5 is at -190. But he could also go before the 12th pick.
Rumors are the Raiders, 49ers and Broncos are all teams looking to trade up, and each of those squads is in the market for receiving help at some point in this draft. The 49ers and Raiders both have two first-round picks and really need an alpha playmaker out wide.
And as we know, there's always the chance someone unexpected makes a move to come up and get Lamb, and if a team wants Lamb, they'll likely have to jump Vegas to get him -- or at least that's the popular train of thought.
What to Bet
The under 12.5 feels a lock for Lamb. Too many teams are in the market for a receiver, and for this bet to not hit, not only would the Raiders have to pass on him at No. 12, it means no one else traded up for him.
Betting on Lamb to be drafted the top 10 for +170 is worth a stab, as well. Even if you think Lamb will wind up in Vegas, it's not out of the realm of possibility that the Raiders move up to secure Lamb's services, which is what I'm expecting. I predict the Raiders trade up to No. 8 or No. 10 for Lamb, depending on whether they can get a deal done with Arizona or Cleveland.
With all the technology restrictions due to COVID-19, as well as teams not being able to have their own doctors do in-person physicals with players, this draft could be wild. Time will tell whether we get chaos -- as some are expecting (or maybe hoping for) -- and more unpredictability than usual.
Either way, Lamb is likely to be the first wide receiver drafted (-120), and it's hard to imagine him slipping past No. 12. If you're betting on a team to select a wideout with their first pick, you can gamble on the Raiders (-200), 49ers (-210) and Broncos (-240). If you want a shot at more bang for your buck, look no further than Jets (+150), Jaguars (+430) or Cardinals (+560).
I'm taking the under 12.5 (-190) on Lamb's draft position, and I'm also on Lamb as the first receiver off the board (-120). I also like the +170 line for Lamb going in the top 10, but that one is admittedly more risky than the other bets.