FanDuel Single-Game Daily Fantasy Football Helper: Week 14 Monday Night
For those unfamiliar, single-game slates feature five flex spots with identical scoring to the main slate. However, kickers are included in these contests, and there is an "MVP" roster slot. The MVP receives 1.5-times his total fantasy points, making this spot crucial.
Bookmakers currently have the home Eagles as -8.5-point favorites with the over/under set at 44.5, setting us up for what could be a one-sided game. Despite being a large home-favorite, the Eagles have only gotten 33% of the moneyline bets according to oddsFire.
Carson Wentz ($15,500) - Sporting a strong 26.50 implied team total, the Eagles are in a spot to put up plenty of points tonight, and much of that production could come from Wentz. The Giants are allowing the seventh-most FanDuel points per game (21.2) to quarterbacks this season. This shouldn't be a surprise, as the Giants have been a team to target in NFL DFS for a few seasons. Wentz and the Eagles have yet to play the Giants this season, but if we look back to last season, we see that Wentz posted over 500 yards and four touchdowns in two starts.
Our projections have Wentz going for 18.9 FanDuel points -- the second-highest on the slate -- making him a clear option for the MVP spot tonight.
Saquon Barkley ($13,500) - Barkley hasn't looked like himself in recent weeks, but he has still totaled 18 touches or more in six-straight games. His efficiency can be called into question at times, but the same can be said for the Giants' offense overall. We have Barkley projected as the highest-scoring player of the night, up at 19.5 FanDuel points.
The Giants are 8.5-point road underdogs tonight, putting them in a spot to be playing from behind. If that is the case, Barkley still has plenty of value in the passing game, as he is averaging over six targets per game. By any chance the Giants do get the lead, feeding Barkley the ball will come into play, giving him a higher floor of points.
Miles Sanders ($13,000) - If we are going with the logic that the Eagles are favored at home by over one score, then looking to Sanders as an MVP option tonight is very obvious. Targeting a home favorite's starting running has been a trend in DFS for years, and tonight is no different. Due to the injury situation in the backfield for the Eagles, we saw only two running backs get snaps last week, where Sanders led the team with 87% of the snaps. Last week, Sanders topped 100 total yards, over 20 total touches, and was able to post a touchdown.
All of that is likely tonight since the Giants are allowing 20.6 FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs. Given the lack of depth, given the fact the Eagles should be in control of this game, Sanders makes a clear choice for MVP.
Jay Ajayi ($5,500) - Speaking of the Eagles' backfield situation, Ajayi is back on the team. He is the only other running back who saw snaps last week -- 13% -- and should be in for a somewhat similar role tonight. He comes in at a very cheap $5.5K price tag, which is only $500 more than the minimum salary. It should be noted that in that 13% of snaps last week, Ajayi ended with just two carries for nine yards and had no role in the passing game.
Ajayi is the top value play among players under $10K tonight and is projected for 5.3 FanDuel points. He fits well into a stars and scrubs build tonight.
Kaden Smith ($8,500) - Playing 91% of the snaps last week, Smith stands out as a strong value play tonight against the Eagles. Smith finished with eight targets last week -- the second-highest on the team -- and over the past two weeks combined, he has the third-most on the team. A strong role for a player who didn't play his first game until the middle of November. The Giants have been dealing with a number of injuries this season, but that leads to a player like Smith being a value option tonight.
The Eagles are allowing 8.4 FanDuel points per game to tight ends -- one of the better rates in the league -- but with the Giants projected to be playing from behind, their passing game should come into play.
Dallas Goedert ($9,000) - If everyone wants to roster Zach Ertz tonight, go with Goedert for some leverage. We all know that ownership is very centralized on one-game slates, and finding low-owned players can be tough. But we have a 'backup' player, who isn't playing like a backup. In each of the past two weeks, Goedert has finished second on the team in targets while playing on 56% and 87% of the snaps in those two games. That should stand out because it appears the Eagles are making it a point to get the ball in his direction when he is on the field. Ertz plays more snaps than Goedert and has more targets this season, that's not up for debate. But that larger role should also come with higher ownership, which is what you should be trying to avoid.