3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 11
FanDuel Sportsbook provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, giving you a chance to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 11 on the horizon, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action this week.
Matt Ryan - Over 272.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Coming off two consecutive games of fewer than 200 yards, Matt Ryan looks like a strong bounce-back candidate in Week 11. With a passing yardage prop set at just 272.5, Ryan is a solid bet against a banged up Carolina Panthers secondary.
So far this season, Ryan has passed 300 passing yards in six of eight games. Currently averaging 40 pass attempts per game, Ryan's volume remains near the top of the league. Our projections slate Ryan for 296.78 passing yards on Sunday, giving him almost 25 yards of value on his prop.
Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons face a Panthers defense ranked third in the NFL against the pass. However, this defensive backfield could be without corners Donte Jackson and Ross Cockrell, setting up Ryan for a productive outing.
With a 49.0-point total, bookmakers seem to believe both teams will find a way to move the ball and put up points in this contest. Right now, a $100 bet on Ryan eclipsing 272.5 passing yards nets $89.29.
Dalvin Cook - Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Leading the NFL with 991 rushing yards coming into Week 11, Dalvin Cook draws a strong matchup against the Denver Broncos. Cook's rushing player prop sits at 85.5 yards and looks like a potential value on the Week 11 slate.
Cook currently ranks third in the NFL with 25 touches per game. Isolating carries alone, Cook sits second with 20.2 attempts per contest, giving him an immense floor on a weekly basis. With that said, our models currently project Cook for 105.94 rushing yards, giving him 20 yards of value on his player prop.
Looking at matchup, Minnesota faces a struggling Broncos team. Denver does rank 13th in rush defense, but Minnesota is a 10.0-point home favorite, which should lead to a run-heavy attack for the Vikings.
With matchup and game script working in his favor, Cook's rushing prop looks like a strong wager this weekend. Right now, a $100 bet on Cook besting 85.5 rushing yards totals $84.75.
DeAndre Hopkins - Over 6.5 Receptions (+104)
Ranking third in the NFL with 92 targets, DeAndre Hopkins has underwhelmed a tad this season. However, with his receptions prop set at 6.5, the over looks like a solid play with +104 odds.
While Michael Thomas clearly leads the NFL in many receiving categories, Hopkins quietly has seen comparable volume. In the Houston Texans' last three games, Hopkins has accounted for 45.6 percent of Houston's air yards and 36.6 percent of the targets. Our projections slate Hopkins for 8.43 receptions this week, giving him two catches of value on his player prop.
Unfortunately for Hopkins, the Texans' take on the 11th-ranked pass D of the Baltimore Ravens, creating a tough matchup. However, Hopkins remains capable of winning any matchup and should have volume on his side, even if Will Fuller plays.
A $100 bet on Hopkins passing 6.5 receptions returns $104 in this spot.