5 Vegas Betting Trends to Help Set Your Week 8 Daily Fantasy Football Lineup
It's no secret that Vegas totals and spreads can be helpful when making fantasy football decisions -- especially in daily fantasy games.
Unfortunately, as professional NFL handicapper Warren Sharp has pointed out, Vegas' primary goal is not to set the most accurate lines -- Vegas' goal is to make money, and they do that by encouraging public action on a particular side. What does that mean?
Let’s say Vegas opens the line on a game with Team X favored to beat Team Y by 7 points. If 80% of the public money coming in is in favor of Team X against the spread but Vegas still does not adjust the line, that demonstrates that either there is sharp money on Team Y or that Vegas feels confident about Team Y against the spread. Either way, by examining how Vegas is moving lines in comparison to where the public is betting, we can potentially gain an edge when making lineup decisions.
Atlanta Falcons (-4.5) at New York Jets (O/U 45.5)
Betting Trends: After playing in the fog in Foxborough, the Atlanta Falcons will face the New York Jets. Despite losing last week, the public is on Atlanta in this game, as they are receiving 71% of bets against the spread. It is worth noting, though, that the Jets so far this year are a perfect 3-0 against the spread as a home team. While this is an admittedly small sample size, there is no doubt that the Jets have played well to start the year; they are already just one win away from eclipsing their preseason 2017 win total.
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