Fantasy Football Mailbag: Friday 12/9/16
Fantasy football research never stops, and roles change drastically from one week to the next. That's where our fantasy football mailbag comes into play.
Have a question about a certain player, team, strategy, or anything football? Shoot us a question on Twitter or send an email to Brandon.Gdula@FanDuel.com, and we can talk anything fantasy football related -- even daily fantasy football.
Now, let's answer some questions.
Email submission from Corey:
Need help deciding between Terrell Pryor and Malcolm Mitchell as my #2 WR. Also do I stick with Delanie Walker over Brate this week in a tough matchup versus Denver?
For these, I'll assume half-PPR scoring so that we can limit the damage either way.
We project Terrelle Pryor for 12.76 half-PPR points against the Cincinnati Bengals, who rank third against receivers (according to our DFS tools). Per our advanced analytics, the Bengals rank 14th against the pass overall this season.
Both games have iffy weather, as Cleveland is looking to have 12 mile-per-hour winds and a 30-to-50% chance of precipitation for Sunday, and New England is forecast for winds around 10 miles per hour and a similar chance of drizzle. I'd lean Pryor here.
The Denver Broncos allow the 17th-most points to starting tight ends despite being the toughest pass defense overall by our metrics. That suggests production through the air will go through Walker, who has the highest target market share among tight ends in his past three games (aside from Travis Kelce), this week.
@numberFire Which 2 RB do I start out of Lamar Miller, Blount, Hightower & Ryan Matthews? PPR league. Thanks.
— Jonny Upops (@ukrainianplug) December 9, 2016
Let's check out our PPR projections for that one.
Despite the tough Baltimore defense, the New England Patriots are projected to win this one 68.6% of the time, so Blount should get extra looks. They also have one of the highest implied totals of the week at 26 points.
As for Miller, he's a 6.5-point road underdog against the Indianapolis Colts, but Indianapolis is 25th against fantasy running backs, per our DFS tools, and 20th against the run overall this year.
Want to have your questions answered in our mailbag? Submit your questions by tweeting @numberFire or sending an email to Brandon.Gdula@FanDuel.com.