NFL

4 Fantasy Football Running Back Busts For 2015

Nik Bønaddio  —  @nikbonaddio Aug 10th, 2015
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Lamar Miller, Miami Dolphins

Lamar Miller is an interesting case. If a talented back is in a system where he's not used as much as he should be, can he really be considered a bust?

Well, good thing for me that I'm writing this article and not you, chucko -- this is about ADP versus value and, currently, Miller is being drafted 13th at his position on ESPN, a ludicrous number based on his usage rate.

At this value, you have to expect something around 165 to 170 fantasy points in standard leagues. Miller may not have the volume to support that, and there's plenty of reason to believe he'll regress from a touchdown perspective in 2014 after being fed close to the goal line last year -- the Dolphins have new red zone options, which will limit his ability close to the end zone.

Miller was sixth last year in NEP efficiency, so he's got the talent, but the volume and potential scoring doesn't make him worth the early-round risk.

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