NFL

3 Daily Fantasy Football Players to Avoid in Week 11

Drew Crawford  —  @@DrewCrawford7 Nov 16th, 2018
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Tyrell Williams, WR, San Diego Chargers

FanDuel Price: $6,500

DraftKings Price: $4,800

If I were to dive into a wide receiver who was due for regression, the Saints' Michael Thomas would be the obvious candidate due to his otherworldly catch rate and overall efficiency to this point. Thomas could drop his next 10 targets and still be setting the NFL record for the highest catch rate in league history. Alas, Thomas seems to be above any sort of statistical explanation, so I'm not going there.

Instead, lets take a look at Tyrell Williams and examine why his numbers to date are simply unsustainable. Williams is among the league leaders at the wide receiver position in catch-rate (72.2%) despite also having one of the highest average depth of target (aDot) numbers in the NFL at 15.6 yards. "The Gazelle" also is second in the NFL (behind only DeSean Jackson) in yards per catch at a silly 19.1. This is all despite having just a 13% market share of targets in this Chargers' offense.

We saw last week that Keenan Allen got a bit of the "squeaky wheel" treatment after complaining about his lack of targets the previous week. One has to wynder if Philip Rivers continues to appease the alpha member of this wide receiver crew again this week. To further complicate matters for Tyrell, the Chargers are a sizable 7-point home favorite in this one, so expect a lot of Melvin Gordon in the second-half if San Diego gets out to an early lead.

It only takes one bomb for Williams to pay off his salary, but we can bank on those occurrences becoming less frequent given his unsustainable efficiency to this point in the season. Avoid this San Diego wideout in Week 11.


Drew Crawford is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Drew Crawford also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username squid0308. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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