NFL

5 Players Whose Fantasy Football Stock Took a Hit Since Free Agency Started

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse the slideshow

Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Thomas Rawls didn't switch teams, but his current squad, Seattle, made it pretty clear that they don't think he's the early-down solution this season when they signed ex-Packer Eddie Lacy to a one-year deal.

After a strong rookie campaign where he rushed for over 100 yards in four of the six games in which he saw double-digit carries, Rawls took a nosedive in 2016, averaging 2.4 fewer yards per carry than in 2015 (5.6 versus 3.2). His Rushing NEP per rush went from 0.08 to -0.13, and his Success Rate -- again, this is the percentage of positive expected points rushes made by a back -- of 26.61% in 2016 was the absolute worst among all backs with 100-plus touches.

Rawls could hypothetically sustain some value if he was a talented pass-catcher, but that hasn't been the case. During his rookie campaign, his per-target efficiency was directly at the league average among running backs, according to our numbers, and in 2016, it was far below it. Rawls also caught a grand total of 11 passes in college.

But don't forget: the Seahawks have converted college wide receiver C.J. Prosise coming back from injury this year. He'll more than likely see a lot of the receiving work in the offense.

Essentially, Rawls profiles as an early-down back, but the Seahawks just signed an early-down back in Lacy. Even if Rawls somehow gets early-down work, there's no chance he's getting the same per-game workload we've seen from him at times over the last two years.