Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 13

Start Tyrod Taylor as an Underdog

The Oakland Raiders are three-point favorites versus the Buffalo Bills. This spread should give a favorable game script to both starting quarterbacks.

In fact, according to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor has performed well in losses since joining the team in 2015. In 11 losses, Taylor has averaged 23.29 fantasy points per game. In 15 wins, he has averaged 19.63 fantasy points per game.

Again, based on the spread, the Raiders are projected to win by three points. They are 7-4 against the spread in 2016 while the Bills are only 5-6.

The total in this game is 49 points, tied for the third-highest on the weekend slate. How has Tyrod performed in games with this high of a total? I don't know because it has never happened.

The unknown is always intriguing, and I like his chances in this matchup because both teams have gone over the total frequently in 2016. The Raiders have gone over the total a league-high nine out of 11 games while the Bills have eclipsed the total in eight out of 11 games.

The best reason to invest in Taylor is his cheap price on FanDuel. He is priced at $7,400, which makes him the 17th-most expensive quarterback. Taylor may not possess the safety of a solid cash-game play, but he has the upside of a tournament-winning play.