NCAAF

College Football Conference Championship Bets and Win Totals: Southeastern Conference (SEC)

With significant upgrades at coach and quarterback this season, LSU might soar past their projected win total. Which other ways can we bet college football's best conference?

College football season is nearly upon us, and there are plenty of NCAA football odds and outrights on FanDuel Sportsbook we can explore.

Routinely pumping two teams into the College Football Playoff, there's no doubting the SEC is the best conference in college football. While we know Alabama will be routinely involved, there are also teams surging year-to-year with strong recruiting efforts. There's also no conference in the country spending more on NIL deals at the moment. It's just different in the south, man.

Here's how the conference winner odds shake out for this year overall.

Team Conference Odds Over/Under
Alabama -140 10.5
Georgia +160 10.5
Texas A&M +1800 8.5
Kentucky +4000 7.5
Tennessee +5000 7.5
Ole Miss +5000 7.5
Florida +6000 7.0
Arkansas +6000 7.0
LSU +9000 6.5
Mississippi State +12000 6.5
Auburn +15000 6.5
South Carolina +15000 6.0
Missouri +25000 5.5
Vanderbilt +50000 2.5


Conference Winner(s) to Bet

Alabama Crimson Tide (-140)

As much as I loathe a minus-money conference winner, Alabama is as worthy as it gets.

On top of returning Heisman Trophy winner and NFL Draft prospect Bryce Young, the Crimson Tide added weapons Jahmyr Gibbs from Georgia Tech and Jermaine Burton from Georgia. They'll help late-season breakout Ja'Corey Brooks on a supporting cast that's now entirely in the NFL.

They're the only team with individual top-five marks in ESPN's SP+ projections on both offense and defense. That's because, in addition to Young, pass rusher Will Anderson should contend for the Heisman as well. They also added Eli Ricks to a secondary that was their lone weakness last year.

Georgia's immense depletion of first-round talent has dropped their elite 2021 defense to just seventh in 2022's SP+ projections. That's likely the difference this season after Alabama and Georgia split their pair of matchups last season.


Louisiana State Tigers (+9000)

Personally, Brian Kelly's not getting nearly enough respect in his first year down south.

This LSU squad is already talented. They've got a loaded defense after adding the most previous FBS snaps (1,529) of any Power 5 team through the transfer portal in the offseason. It's now just up to Kelly to do what he's done for years at Notre Dame -- elevate the offensive line.

Not many diehard SEC fans were scouting Pac-12 South games, so they may not be aware of how special quarterback Jayden Daniels was in Arizona State. He added 710 yards rushing to 2,380 through the air last year.

In three years starting, he posted 32 touchdowns to just 13 interceptions. With no disrespect to Ian Book, the dual-threat is arguably the most talented college quarterback Kelly has had.

At these long odds, there's absolutely a path to Kelly hitting the ground running in Baton Rouge. He's a proven playoff-caliber coach, their schedule is set up to a point where it's possible they're undefeated before a home date with Alabama in November.

If that's the case, who knows what might happen in front of that crowd?

Win Total(s) to Target

Texas A&M Aggies Over 8.5 Wins (-165)

Coming off the best recruiting class of the offseason, the Aggies are likely to roll over an easy schedule in 2022.

They play just four road games, and they'll be comfortably favored over Mississippi State, South Carolina, and Auburn in three of them. Alabama is a likely loss in Tuscaloosa, but that's just one of four they'd have to suffer to miss this total.

With the sixth-best defense in the SP+ projections, they'll be favored in all eight home games as well -- including a date with Miami (FL) in September that likely holds College Football Playoff implications.

This talented team upgraded significantly at quarterback, leaping from the inconsistent Zach Calzada to LSU transfer Max Johnson. Amidst the chaos and dysfunction in Ed Orgeron's last year with the Tigers, Johnson still threw for more yards (2,815) and touchdowns (27) than Calzada did with this loaded Texas A&M offense in 2021.

The road date with the Tide makes it hard to believe they'll win the SEC, but anything short of double-digit wins would be a strange disappointment.


South Carolina Gamecocks Under 6.5 Wins (-120)

There may not be a team in the country with a more black-and-white schedule than South Carolina.

They've peppered their schedule with two FCS squads and lowly Georgia State. That'll be three easy wins, and they'll likely slide past weaker SEC foes Vanderbilt and Missouri as well.

However, they'll be a comfortable underdog to seven others: Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Tennessee, Florida, and Clemson on the road.

With that the case, this line should absolutely be set at 5.5 wins based on the potential to upset one of those squads. Their best chance might be the Gators, but that game will be in Gainesville.

The Gamecocks will absolutely be better with Spencer Rattler in town, but Rattler's 2021 performance and benching at Oklahoma doesn't make him a shoo-in as a productive quarterback.

South Carolina doesn't have much production on the outside, though. Senior Josh Vann led the team with just 679 yards receiving last year, and he's once again the lead guy. Austin Stogner followed Rattler from OU, but he only posted 166 yards in 2021, so he's once again more of a question mark than a certainty.