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NBA Daily Fantasy Helper: Friday 3/8/13

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I feel like LeBron: we now have not one, not two, not three, but four optimized rosters with the best plays from Draft Kings.

We know that people play all sorts of fantasy platforms, not just from from our friends at StarStreet but on other platforms such as DraftStreet, FanDuel, and Draft Kings as well. So once again, we're not only going to give you one, but four optimized rosters, all for you, the numberFire reader.

As you can see, there are some minor differences between the rosters. That has to do with two key components: the position restrictions on each site, and the different player pricing system on the sites as well. We've plugged this data into our player projection system, and we've come up with the best overall values for your Daily Fantasy team on each platform today.

As always, the full tables for today's action are available at our Daily Fantasy Projections page. Make sure to check it out to see where the best values are for your team.

StarStreet Optimized Roster

PlayerPositionProjected FPCostValue
Dwyane WadeG37.38$14,0002.67
Tim DuncanF38.63$13,5002.86
Dwight HowardC36.75$13,5002.72
Paul PierceF33.48$12,6002.66
Al JeffersonC35.75$12,3002.91
Carlos BoozerF29.8$10,6002.81
Wesley MatthewsG24.4$8,3002.94
Ed DavisF22.25$7,6002.93
Kevin MartinG20.85$7,6002.74

DraftStreet Optimized Roster

PlayerPositionProjected FPCostValue
LeBron JamesF44$22,7591.93
Al JeffersonC31.95$14,9422.14
DeMarcus CousinsC29.5$13,9012.12
Jeremy LinG25.93$11,0622.34
Steve NashG24.2$10,5892.29
Jarrett JackG22.4$8,9962.49
Wesley MatthewsG21.4$8,8892.41
Metta World PeaceF20.08$8,3742.40

Fan Duel Optimized Roster

PlayerPositionProjected FPCostValue
LeBron JamesSF43.6$9,9004.40
Kevin DurantSF42.4$9,9004.28
Tim DuncanPF35.4$8,1004.37
Dwight HowardC33.4$7,9004.23
Jameer NelsonPG26.1$5,8004.50
Joe JohnsonSG24.4$5,5004.44
Steve NashPG22.3$5,1004.37
Kevin MartinSG19.8$4,0004.95
Ed DavisPF20.3$3,8005.34

Draft Kings Optimized Roster

PlayerPositionProjected FPCostValue
James HardenSG/SF45.18$9,0005.02
Tim DuncanPF/C41.9$8,1005.17
Dwight HowardC40$7,3005.48
Jameer NelsonPG33.05$5,9005.60
Jeremy LinPG31.28$5,4005.79
O.J. MayoSG30.4$5,2005.85
Vince CarterSG/SF26.35$4,2006.27
Jarrett JackPG/SG27.3$4,1006.66

The Best of the Best

LeBron James - 26 points against Orlando is nice, but with LeBron, we've come to expect more, as harsh as that is to say. Three assists and two rebounds didn't really make the grade. Against the Sixers, though, he has a good chance to put up the full range of stats. The Sixers are 24th in offensive rebound percentage, 12th in defensive rebound percentage, and opposing small forwards (who by the way, usually aren't LeBron) collect 7.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game against them this season.

Tim Duncan - We have a guy who just put up 18-10-5 against Joakim Noah's excellent defense, and he's facing a Portland squad that is 25th in defensive rating and 17th in both offensive and defensive rebounding. With J.J. Hickson's average 105 defensive rating and below-average 1.9 block rate opposite him, Duncan should be the go-to man to San Antonio tonight.

Dwight Howard - These three players look familiar? They should: they're the exact same three that we highlighted just two days ago. But if they're still undervalued, then there's no reason not to take advantage. After 20 points, 15 rebounds, and four blocks against New Orleans on Wednesday prove that he's hot, and Toronto isn't much better than New Orleans (DRtg at No. 24, ORB% at No. 21, DRB% at No. 22). Especially in a system where at least one center is mandatory, somebody like Howard is worth the price.

Top Mid-Range Values

Steve Nash - Steve Nash had five points, four rebounds, and one assist against the Hornets on Wednesday in 35 minutes. I think I just threw up in my mouth a bit. But if there's one thing that it's important to beat into people's heads as a stat nerd, it's the idea of regression to the mean. Nash's cost fell after that game by just enough to make him an excellent play; he will not put up those numbers again, guaranteed. And Toronto's 24th-best defensive rating and .494 effective field goal percentage (eFG%) allowed to opposing point guards has a lot to do with it.

Wesley Matthews - I'm honestly very confused about why Matthews' price is so low on both StarStreet and DraftStreet. He's played at least 32 minutes in five of his past six games, he has five double-digit scoring games over the same stretch, and his .539 eFG% is the highest of any non-center on the team (he's less likely to have a random bad shooting night). I know that he's playing the tough Spurs defense, but their .478 eFG% is only slightly better than average (unlike the devastating .469 eFG% allowed to power forwards). For the price, I'll take him in a heartbeat.

Ed Davis - Darrell Arthur: out. Zach Randolph: game-time decision. Helllloooo playing time for Ed Davis. Sure, he didn't exactly capitalize on his start on Wednesday, nabbing only three points and six boards against the Blazers. However, the game before against Orlando, he picked up his first double-double in Memphis in roughly the same situation. I see tonight as a blend of the two, as Cleveland's 27th-best defensive rating and defensive rebound percentage will give him opportunities in the post. Will he capitalize? For that low of a price, it's worth the risk to find out.

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In This Article

Tim Duncan
FC, San Antonio Spurs

Wesley Matthews
GF, Portland Trail Blazers

Steve Nash
PG, Los Angeles Lakers

Ed Davis
FC, Memphis Grizzlies

Dwight Howard
FC, Houston Rockets

LeBron James
F, Miami Heat

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