NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 3/21/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mikal Bridges Under 2.5 Made Threes (-128)
Since coming to the Brooklyn Nets, Mikal Bridges has seen an across-the-board boost in his numbers, but I think there are a few reasons to be into the under on his made threes prop today.
While Bridges has made an average of 2.7 triples per game in 16 contests with the Nets, he's going to have a hard time sustaining his current clip of 43.9% shooting from deep. He made 38.7% of his threes with the Phoenix Suns this year and was a 40.1% three-point shooter last season.
He's got a tough matchup today against the Cleveland Cavaliers. In the past 15 games, the Cavs have the fifth-best defensive rating and are playing at the third-slowest pace. For the year, Cleveland is allowing the fewest three-point tries per night to small forwards (6.3).
Our model projects Bridges to make 2.0 of 5.0 from three on Tuesday night.
Tre Jones Over 12.5 Points (-112)
The San Antonio Spurs are missing lots of dudes. Keldon Johnson, Charles Bassey, Devin Vassell, Zach Collins and Jeremy Sochan are all out, and Devonte' Graham is listed as questionable.
With that many absences, the Spurs are a tricky team to project tonight in their matchup with the New Orleans Pelicans. That could work in our favor, and our model sees some value on Tre Jones' points prop.
With all of the confirmed absences off the floor this season, Jones owns a team-leading 27.2% usage rate and is netting 25.8 points per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ, although the sample is only 73.8 minutes.
Over the past 13 games, the Pels are surrendering the 13th-most points per night to point guards (25.1).
We have Jones scoring 13.7 points in 30.1 minutes versus New Orleans.