3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 3/16/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds (+100)
The Denver Nuggets are in need of a win to break their four-game losing streak.
Luckily for them, they are going up against the Detroit Pistons, which is a favorable matchup for Nikola Jokic. There aren't many matchups that don't put the two-time MVP in a good spot, but this one is particularly soft for rebounds.
This season, the Pistons are allowing 16.10 rebounds per game to opposing centers, which is the fifth-worst in the league. Jokic's rebound prop is sitting at 12.5 at even money, which seems very doable for him in this matchup. He's been over that 12.5 mark in 6 of his last 10 games, including games of 18, 18, and 20 rebounds.
numberFire's projections have him going for 13.4 rebounds tonight, putting him over his prop against the Pistons.
Mikal Bridges Over 2.5 Made Threes (-113)
When it comes to the Brooklyn Nets, Mikal Bridges is their main guy now.
Post trade deadline, Bridges has emerged as the primary scorer for the Nets, pouring in buckets left and right. While the points are great, we are specifically looking at three-pointers tonight, another area he has been crushing lately.
Bridges has at least three made three-pointers in three straight games and three or more in four of his last five games. He's simply on fire from the field right now, and a strong matchup against the Sacramento Kings should see that continue.
We are looking at a high 238.0-point over/under and a very close 2.0-point spread, giving us a strong game environment for scoring. This is also a pace-up spot for the Nets (19th) because the Kings (9th) are one of the faster-paced teams in the league.
The Kings also find themselves in the bottom half of the league for the most three-pointers (12.4) allowed per game to opponents. All of his puts Bridges in a great spot to cash the over on his prop tonight.
Jrue Holiday Under 18.5 Points (-128)
Finally, let's look at Jrue Holiday of the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks are big 12.5-point home favorites against the Indiana Pacers, who are dealing with a slew of injuries tonight. If the Pacers are going to be rolling out a less-than-healthy lineup, we are looking at some serious blowout potential for the Bucks tonight.
They're already the best team in the league, and simply put, the Pacers don't stand a chance with a lineup of bench players. This game narrative is what could lead to Holiday hitting the under on 18.5 points tonight -- he simply won't have to play a ton of minutes.
The Bucks get out to a huge lead, pull their starters early, and it all leads to unders on props. This is not to mention that Holiday hasn't been scoring lately either. Over his last five games, he has been over this mark only one time. numberFire's projections have Holiday going for 17.3 points tonight, which would cash the under.