3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 3/13/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Al Horford Over 2.5 Assists (-144)
Al Horford has at least three assists in five straight games, and he draws a plum matchup today against the Houston Rockets.
Houston has allowed a league-high 5.4 assists per night to centers across the last 15 games. They're dead last in defensive rating in that span and should have a really tough time slowing down the Boston Celtics, something that's reflected in Boston's juicy 122.0-point implied total.
My biggest worry here is the most obvious one -- blowout risk. Boston is a 12.5-point road favorite and may pummel Houston, which could lead to fewer minutes for Horford.
But as long as he gets something close to his usual allotment of minutes, Horford has a great chance to cash this over. We project him to total 3.2 assists.
You can also roll the dice on the over on Horford's rebounds prop. It's set at 6.5 (-115 on the over), and we have him pulling down 7.5 boards.
Bam Adebayo Under 8.5 Rebounds (-130)
In a vacuum, this line is a fairly low bar for Bam Adebayo to clear. I mean, he's averaging 9.4 rebounds for the season. But there's a reason the prop is set at 8.5 and has -130 juice on the under.
Bam hasn't been doing that much glass work of late, finishing with seven or fewer boards in four consecutive outings. A matchup with the Utah Jazz isn't the place for him to bounce back.
Utah has been going big lately, playing Walker Kessler and Kelly Olynyk together quite a bit. That's made them an excellent rebounding squad. Over the past 15 games, Utah is third in rebound rate, and they have held the center position to only 14.3 rebounds per game, the ninth-fewest.
I think Bam is in for another quieter night on the glass and am siding with the under.
Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 Made Threes (-138)
We should see gobs of points tonight in the Minnesota Timberwolves-Atlanta Hawks matchup. The total is set at 244.5 points, and the spread is just 5.5. Both sides are in the top seven in pace over the last 15 games. It'll be a track meet in Atlanta.
Anthony Edwards can feast in this matchup.
Edwards has been letting it fly from three, taking at least eight triples in four straight games. He's hit at least three treys in three of those four contests, and for the year, he's been a more accurate long-range shooter on the road (40.%) than at home (34.4%).
We project him to go 3.6 of 9.9 from three on Monday.
