NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 3/7/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Delon Wright Over 8.5 Points (+104)

This recommendation hinges on Monte Morris sitting. As of Tuesday afternoon, Morris is reportedly unlikely to play, which should result in another game of big minutes for Delon Wright.

Wright has played at least 29 minutes in three straight games, and he's netted at least nine points in five of his past seven games, going for 14-plus points three times in that span.

A matchup with the lousy defense of the Detroit Pistons is the perfect spot for Wright to keep rolling. Detroit's D is bad in just about every facet, and they have allowed the seventh-most points per night to point guards over the last 30 games (26.0).

Our algorithm has Wright scoring 9.2 points. All in all, this plus-money price is easy to like.

Tyus Jones Under 16.5 Points (-128)

Tyus Jones is going to get another start in place of Ja Morant, but I think this is a good spot to target the under on his points prop.

Jones is up against the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Lakers have been playing some serious defense lately, sitting third in defensive rating across the last 10 games. And the over/under for this game is only 225.0 points, the second-lowest of the night.

Jones certainly plays a bigger role sans Morant, but his usage doesn't jump as much as you might think. With Morant, Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke off the court -- which accounts for tonight's floor condition -- Jones sees a usage-rate boost of only 1.9 percentage points, up to 20.4%, according to CourtIQ.

We project Jones for 15.4 points.

Cam Johnson Over 2.5 Made Threes (-148)

It should be bombs away tonight for Cam Johnson in a date with the Houston Rockets.

Over the last 15 games, Houston is giving up the highest three-point attempt rate in the NBA (44.7%). For the year, power forwards are taking 7.6 threes per game against Houston, tied for the most.

It's not like Johnson needs much encouragement to shoot from deep. He's taken at least six threes in every game he's played since coming to the Brooklyn Nets, and he's averaging 8.0 three-point tries per night since the trade -- up from 5.8 per game during his time with the Phoenix Suns this season.

We project Johnson to go 3.4 of 8.2 tonight from three. The -148 juice isn't fun, but the over looks like a sound bet.