NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 3/7/23: Can the 76ers Rack Up Points Again?

Betting on the NBA can get a little overwhelming throughout the season because there are games every day, and there's just a lot to track throughout the season and entering every night -- spreads, over/unders, injuries, and so on.

But you can rely on numberFire to help. We have a detailed betting algorithm that projects out games to see how often certain betting lines hit. You can also track spread bet percentages at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Where do our algorithm, our power rankings, and the betting trends identify value in tonight's NBA odds?

(All offensive rating, defensive rating, and net rating splits come from PBPStats.com and account for medium-, high-, and very high-leverage situations unless otherwise noted. All injury news and notes come from the official NBA injury report unless otherwise noted.)

Philadelphia 76ers at Minnesota Timberwolves

Over 229.0 (-110)

We just saw the Philadelphia 76ers drop 147 points last night (and allow 143), and while there's more to an over recommendation than that, it's nice to see leading in.

The 76ers' relevant offensive rating based on current health for this matchup is 119.7, which rates out well above the NBA average.

As for the Minnesota Timberwolves, their recent splits are more indicative of what to expect from this team since the trade deadline. I have their relevant offensive rating for this game at 116.5, also above the NBA average.

In total, my model does like the Timberwolves -2.0 but prefers the over at 229.0. My model is anticipating 232.8 points in this matchup.

Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder +4.0 (-106)

Recently, this number jostled down from +4.5 to +4.0, but that's still enough to want to take the points with the Thunder for me.

We know by now that the Golden State Warriors are not a great road team. They're only 7-24 away from home and have lost six consecutive road matchups, and Andrew Wiggins is out.

Though there are rumblings of a potential minutes restriction for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, we saw him play 36 minutes in his return to action on Sunday after a five-game absence.

My model likes the Thunder as a slight favorite so long as Gilgeous-Alexander is good to go, and taking the points is an easy route.

numberFire's model likes the Thunder +4.0 as a four-star play out of five, as well.

Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers

Under 226.0 (-110)

A lot is going on in this primetime, national TV game.

The Memphis Grizzlies without Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, and Steven Adams for various reasons (and I mean various), and the Los Angeles Lakers are going to be without LeBron James again while listing D'Angelo Russell as questionable and Anthony Davis as probable.

What this ultimately means is that we should be anticipating two weak offensive outputs.

Memphis has a relevant offensive rating of 115.3 still, but the Lakers' mark drops below 105 when removing James and Russell from the floor. That's a tough scene.

While I'm not going near the Grizzlies' spread or anything, I'm going to try to get access to a problematic Lakers offense with an under.