3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 3/1/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Cam Johnson Over 2.5 Made Threes (+112)
Cam Johnson has been letting it fly since coming to the Brooklyn Nets.
In six games with the Nets, he's averaging 7.5 three-point tries per game. He was taking 5.8 threes per night with the Phoenix Suns. His shooting percentage has been way down, though, and he's bound to see some positive regression as he's hitting just 31.1% of his treys with Brooklyn after making 45.5% with Phoenix.
He should be able to get off plenty of threes today against the New York Knicks, a team that is giving up third-most three-point attempts per game to power forwards (7.1).
We project Johnson to go 2.9 of 7.0 from three. That's not quite the three triples needed for this over to cash, but given the +112 price, I think this is worth a roll of the dice.
De'Anthony Melton Over 2.5 Rebounds (-160)
The -160 juice is a lot to swallow, but our model has De'Anthony Melton going well past this line.
Last time out, Melton had three rebounds versus the Miami Heat, and he plays the Heat again tonight. Miami has allowed the eighth-most rebounds per game to point guards (6.4).
Melton is snagging 4.1 boards per game for the year and should be on the floor a ton as he's averaging a career-best 28.2 minutes per game.
Our model has Melton pulling down 4.4 rebounds on Wednesday night.
Paolo Banchero Under 19.5 Points (-120)
Paolo Banchero is in a tough spot tonight against the Milwaukee Bucks as Milwaukee permits the fewest points per game to the power-forward position (19.3).
Banchero hasn't been filling it up, either. Prior to a 29-point outburst in his most recent game, he'd netted 19 or fewer points in six of his last seven contests, averaging just 15.4 points per night over that seven-game stretch.
There's also a smidge of blowout risk here with the Orlando Magic a 7.5-point road 'dog against one of the league's elite teams.
All in all, Banchero projects for 17.8 points, per our numbers.
