3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 2/24/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Brook Lopez Over 1.5 Made Threes (-120)

Editor's note: Since publication, Giannis Antetokounmpo has been upgraded to questionable. Giannis suiting up would push me off this bet.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to be out tonight for the Milwaukee Bucks. That obviously leaves a lot of shots up for grabs in the Bucks' offense.

Brook Lopez should benefit, especially from three. With Giannis off the floor this year, Lopez is making 2.3 threes per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ.

The matchup helps, too. Milwaukee is up against the Miami Heat. Miami is giving up a league-high 42.3% three-point attempt rate over the last 15 games.

Lopez has hit multiple treys in two of his three matchups with Miami this season. Milwaukee was without Giannis for two of those games, and Lopez sank at least two trifectas in each of them.

I'm a little more bullish on this bet than our model is, but we still have Lopez at 1.8 made threes on 4.8 attempts.

Clint Capela Under 11.5 Points (-105)

Clint Capela has a brutal matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and that has me on the under on his points prop.

Not only are the Cavaliers first in defensive rating, but the interior D of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen has made it particularly tough on opposing bigs all season. As a result, the Cavs are allowing the center position to score just 20.6 points per night, the sixth-fewest.

Capela has first-hand knowledge of this as he was limited to only four points in 27 minutes in his lone meeting with Cleveland this season.

Capela has been held to 10 or fewer points in five of his previous nine games, and we project him to score just 10.6 points tonight.

Mike Conley Over 1.5 Made Threes (-172)

I know, I know -- the -172 juice isn't fun. But our model loves this one.

Mike Conley is taking on the Charlotte Hornets, and there should be a ton of possessions in the game. Charlotte and Minnesota rank 4th and 5th, respectively, in pace, and neither side is all that great on defense, with the Hornets sitting 24th in defensive rating.

It's a small sample of three games, but so far, Conley has a higher three-point attempt rate with Minnesota (61.9%) than he did with the Utah Jazz (56.8%).

Our algorithm projects Conley to make 2.8 three-pointers on 7.3 attempts against the Hornets.