NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 1/19/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made Threes (-142)
On the year, Minnesota is giving up a three-point attempt rate of 40.7%, the seventh-highest. Shooting guards are getting off 8.8 three-point shots per night against the Wolves, which is slightly more than the league average.
Trent has been letting it fly from deep in recent games, jacking at least eight three-point attempts in four of his past five games. He's hit four threes in two straight outings, and he's making 2.6 threes per game for the season.
Our model really likes this one, projecting Trent to go 3.4 for 9.0 from beyond the arc.
Damian Lillard Under 31.5 Points (-113)
Damian Lillard is on an absolute heater. He's scored 50, 36, 40 and 44 points over his past four games.
But there are reasons to back the under tonight on his points prop.
The matchup is a big reason. Lillard is at home against the Philadelphia 76ers, and it's a tough spot for him. The Sixers have limited floor generals to 21.4 points per game, the fewest in the league. Dame isn't your average point guard, but he's undoubtedly facing a stingy defense.
He's also due to regress a bit shooting-wise. Over his four-game onslaught, Lillard is making 57.6% of his shots, including 42.2% from three. On the year, he's shooting 45.5% from the field and 36.6% from deep.
While Lillard can light it up any night against any foe, our projections have him netting just 29.2 points today.