3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 12/13/22
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Russell Westbrook Under 0.5 Made Threes (+134)
Russell Westbrook has failed to make a three-pointer in four of his past six games. Across the four games in which he didn't make a three in that span, he attempted just five total triples, so he's not shooting much from deep.
He probably won't get many clean looks from three today in a date with the Boston Celtics. Boston is allowing a three-point attempt rate of just 35.5%, the fourth-lowest. They are giving up the ninth-fewest three-point tries per night to point guards (7.4) and the sixth-fewest to shooting guards (7.7).
Our model has Westbrook making 0.8 threes on 2.5 attempts on Tuesday. With the under priced at +134 and the over at -172, the under is the side I want to be on.
Torrey Craig Over 1.5 Made Threes (-138)
With the Suns' expected inactives off the floor this year, Craig is making 2.15 threes per 36 minutes, according to RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. We project Craig to play 31.1 minutes today.
The matchup against the Houston Rockets helps a lot, too. Not only are the Rockets a poor defensive team (28th in defensive rating), they give up a lot of three-point tries, permitting the league's second-highest three-point attempt rate (42.9%). Shooting guards have found plenty of open looks against Houston as the Rockets give up the second-most three-point attempts per game to the position (10.3).
And Craig is stroking it this year, making 39.3% from beyond the arc, a career-best mark.
Joel Embiid Over 10.5 Rebounds (+100)
Let's take a shot on another plus-money prop.
Joel Embiid is at home against the Sacramento Kings. This is a huge pace-up spot for the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers play at the fourth-slowest pace while Sacramento plays at the sixth-fastest pace. There should be more possessions -- and more rebounds up for grabs -- than usual for Embiid.
Blowout risk isn't much of a worry, either. The Sixers are only 5.0-point favorites.
On top of that, Embiid is due for some positive regression in the rebounding department. He's pulling down just 13.5 rebounds per 100 possessions this year. His career average is 17.4, and he snagged 17.3 boards per 100 possessions a year ago. DARKO has him at an expected 15.1 rebounds per 100 possessions.
We project Embiid to rack up 11.2 rebounds on Tuesday night.