3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 11/22/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
De'Anthony Melton Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130)
Melton is already logging big minutes, playing 36 minutes in two straight. He's been active on the glass, too, totaling at least six boards in four of his last five games.
The matchup with the Brooklyn Nets should help. Brooklyn is 29th in rebound rate this year, better than only one team -- the Sixers. The Nets also allow the third-most rebounds per game to backcourts (13.4). There should be boards up for grabs, and Melton is going to get a ton of minutes.
We project Melton to pull down 6.7 rebounds, and the over is the side I'll be on.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 20.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-113)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has a nice matchup today against the Detroit Pistons, and he'll have to shoulder more of the load in all departments with the Denver Nuggets likely to be without both Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray.
Detroit ranks second-worst in defensive rating, and the Pistons (13th in pace) are a slight pace-up opponent for the Nuggets (17th). The Pistons are giving up the fourth-most rebounds per night to shooting guards (7.1), and they're also allowing the 10th-most made threes per game to the position -- which sets up well for KCP, who is on fire from three so far this season (51.4%).
We project Caldwell-Pope to total 15.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists. That's 21.7 combined points, boards and dimes. KCP's point total is where we differ most from the betting market, so if you want, you can just take him to go over 13.5 points (-115) instead.
Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 Made Threes (+132)
Prior to said recent stretch, Bridges had made at least two triples in five of his last eight games. He's also due to take more threes. His three-point attempt rate is only 28.4%. It was 36.4% a year ago, and it's at 43.1% for Bridges' career. DARKO has him with an expected three-point attempt rate of 30.3% this season.
While LA is a solid defensive team and doesn't permit a lot of three-point tries overall, small forward is the one position where they do give up a hefty amount of looks from beyond the arc, allowing the sixth-most three-point tries per game to the position (8.6).
Admittedly, our projections think this line is spot on as we peg Bridges to make 1.5 threes today on 4.1 attempts. But the pricing pushes me to the over. The over is worth a roll of the dice.