NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 5/25/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Victor Oladipo Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-122)
Victor Oladipo was clearly the Miami Heat's best player in Game 4, pouring in 23 points on 7-for-16 shooting, including a 4-of-7 mark from deep.
It's possible he's played himself into a bigger role, but unless he sees said bigger role, he's probably not going to hit multiple treys today in Game 5.
Prior to the outburst in Game 4, Oladipo had not made more than one three in a game in any of his past seven contests. He doesn't shoot that much from deep -- just 2.7 three-point attempts per night in Games 1 through 3 of this series -- and he's only hit 34.8% from beyond the arc in his career.
Barring him playing huge minutes or shooting extremely efficiently tonight, Oladipo is going to have a tough time getting to the over on this prop. We project him for 1.2 made triples on 3.6 attempts in 18.3 minutes.
P.J. Tucker Over 0.5 Steals (-140)
P.J. Tucker has tallied at least one steal in 7 of his past 11 games, including 3 of 4 games in this series.
The only game in this series in which he went without a steal was Game 2 -- when he played only 21.7 minutes because he exited early with an injury.
In a crucial Game 5, Tucker should see a lot of run. We project him to log 30.4 minutes, but he could see more than that. Tucker has played 37.8, 31.3 and 38.6 minutes in the last three games in which he didn't get hurt and it wasn't a blowout. Obviously, the more playing time, the better chance for this wager to cash.
We have Tucker projected for 0.9 steals, but I'm more bullish on this bet than our model is.