NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 5/13/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Jayson Tatum Under 5.5 Assists (-118)
Our model likes the under on Jayson Tatum's assists at this line.
Over the past three games in the series against the Milwaukee Bucks, Tatum has tallied four, five, and three assists. He averaged 4.5 assists in the regular season, and he's finished with five or fewer helpers in six of eight games against Milwaukee this season (counting the playoffs).
While Tatum will surely play a ton of minutes and see a huge usage rate in an elimination game, our projections have him at 4.9 assists.
Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Made Three-Pointers (-104)
Across the first five games of this series, Thompson is averaging 8.2 three-point attempts per game, and we project him to shoot a whopping 10.0 threes tonight.
Being at home should help the over cash as he made 39.5% of his threes at home this season, compared to 37.0% on the road. He also took 9.8 threes per game at home, compared to 8.5 per night in his travels.
We have Thompson hitting 3.8 threes on those 10.0 attempts. With the over at -104 and the under at -122, the over is the side to be on.