NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 3/22/22

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Mar 22nd, 2022

Player props are a fun way to bet the NBA without having to worry about the zaniness that last-minute injuries can cause in terms of a spread or a game total.

Here, we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make some cash.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+104)

Nikola Vucevic is in a great matchup to bang in a couple threes tonight.

The Chicago Bulls are taking on the Milwaukee Bucks. Not only is the total 233.0 points and the spread a respectably close 7.5, which should make for plenty of points, the Bucks are giving up a lot of three-point attempts. Over the past 15 games, Milwaukee has allowed a three-point attempt rate of 42.1%, the sixth-highest. For the season, the Bucks own the second-highest three-point attempt rate allowed (45.0%).

Vucevic has hit multiple treys in three of his past five games, and our model projects him to make 2.2 threes on 6.0 tries against Milwaukee. This is a great prop bet to target.

Nikola Jokic Triple-Double and Denver to Win (+260)

Our model projects Nikola Jokic to amass 26.1 points, 12.4 boards and 8.1 assists tonight versus the Los Angeles Clippers. Assists will likely be the biggest hurdle for Jokic to get a triple-double, and the Joker hasn't had 10-plus dimes in any of his last seven games.

But he does have at least eight assists four times in that span, and prior to the past seven games, Jokic had recorded at least 11 assists in four of five games.

In a game in which the spread is just 6.5 points (in the Denver Nuggets' favor), Jokic should get his full run, and I like his chances of recording a triple-double.

As for the Nuggets' win odds, they're 6.5-point favorites and -255 on the moneyline. That moneyline implies win odds of 71.8%. We like Denver a little more, giving them an 82.4% chance to win.