NBA

​3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 1/20/22​

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Brandon Ingram Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-162)

Brandon Ingram is taking on a New York Knicks team that concedes a lot of three-point tries, and that should help him hit at least two triples tonight.

New York is permitting a three-point attempt rate of 43.2%, the fifth-highest in the league.

Ingram's work from beyond the arc has been all over the place of late. He went 0 for 4 from deep last time out but was 9 of 17 from three over the previous three games.

Our model projects BI to can 2.2 three-pointers in this one. The -162 price is a big number to take, but Ingram should get to the over.

Luka Doncic Under 25.5 Points (-108)

Luka Doncic went off for 41 points in his last game, but prior to that, he'd been held to 25 or fewer points in six of his last eight outings, including four of the past five.

He draws a difficult matchup versus the Phoenix Suns. Not only does Phoenix sit second in defensive efficiency, the Suns have been stingy versus floor generals, limiting point guards to 23.2 points per game, the sixth-fewest.

Luka will also be sharing the floor with Kristaps Porzingis. In that split this year, Doncic carries a 32.8% usage rate, per RotoGrinders' CourtIQ, compared to a 36.0% usage rate overall this campaign.

Doncic is projected for 24.3 points, according to our algorithm, and I like siding with the under on his points prop.

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Assists (-132)

The Indiana Pacers are a bad defensive team when they're at full strength, checking in 22nd in defensive efficiency. With Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell and Domantas Sabonis all out, the Pacers are likely going to be chasing shadows tonight against the Golden State Warriors.

As such, the Dubs boast a juicy 114.50-point implied total as 12.0-point favorites, and Stephen Curry should be at the forefront of a Golden State onslaught.

While blowout risk is a legit worry when taking the over on any Curry prop today, Steph dished out eight dimes in 28 minutes in a blowout win over the Detroit Pistons in Golden State's last game, so he can get to the over even if this clash isn't competitive.

Our projections peg Curry to total 6.2 assists.