3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 1/13/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 Assists (-128)
We should be in for an entertaining matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. The game boasts a 230.0-point over/under and 5.5-point spread. Minnesota is first in pace while Memphis is sixth.
The T-Wolves have been filling it up, scoring 125, 141 and 135 points in their past three games. Towns has recorded five, seven and five assists in that span, and he's done that while having to share the load with Anthony Edwards and D'Angelo Russell.
Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Made Three-Pointers (+108)
Betting on anyone -- even Stephen Curry -- to hit five three-pointers in a game is a bit scary. But this is a great matchup for Curry to go nuts from deep.
He's taking on the Milwaukee Bucks, a team that permits a 46.3% three-point attempt rate, the second-highest in the league. This should be a fast-paced game, too, as both the Bucks (8th) and Golden State Warriors (10th) are top 10 in pace.
Curry has been in a funk from three over his past four outings, making just 8 of his last 39 three-point tries. Prior to this cold stretch, Steph had hit at least five triples in seven of his past eight games. He's taken at least nine threes in 21 straight games, so volume isn't going to be an issue, especially against a Bucks D that surrenders a lot of three-point attempts.
We project Curry to make 5.4 threes in this one.
Khris Middleton Under 21.5 Points (-112)
On the flip side of that game, Khris Middleton has a tough matchup.
The Dubs' defense has been stout all year, ranking first in defensive efficiency by a good distance. They've held the small forward position to 20.7 points per game, the 10th-fewest, and they've kept shooting guards to 22.0 points per night, the 7th-fewest. However Middleton is deployed, he'll face a stiff test.
Middleton is in the midst of a tear, scoring at least 25 points in three of his last four contests. But two of those games came against a Charlotte Hornets team that sits fifth-worst in defensive efficiency.
Our algorithm projects Middleton for just 18.7 points, making the under a great prop to hone in on tonight.