NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 9/9/20

Vaughn Dalzell  —  @VaughnDalzell Sep 9th, 2020
Nikola Jokic has carried the Nuggets in the conference semifinals so far. Which of his player props should we target in Game 4?

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Kyle Lowry, Over 33.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-122)

Kyle Lowry has gone over 33.5 PRA in two of his last three games and has his back against the wall in Game 6.

The Toronto Raptors are down 3-2 to the Boston Celtics, and in Game 6s, Lowry has been the engine that goes. He recorded 26 points, 10 assists, and 7 rebounds in Game 6 of the 2019 NBA Finals, and in last season's three Game 6's, he averaged 18.6 points, 8.0 assists, and 5.6 rebounds per game.

He's averaged 19.2 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 6.0 assists in this five-game series and posted 21.0 points, 6.6 assists, and 6.3 rebounds over the last three games.

Lowry's played three 40-minute plus games, and it's safe to expect another one in Game 6. In the three semifinal games that he's surpassed 40 minutes, Lowry's averaged 23.0 points, 7.3 assists, and 7.3 rebounds. In the regular season, when he plays 40-plus, Lowry averages 21.3 points, 8.3 assists, and 5.0 rebounds in 12 games.

numberFire's model project Lowry to record 21.2 points, 8.3 assists, and 5.3 rebounds in 40 minutes.

Nikola Jokic, Over 10.5 Rebounds (+102)

Nikola Jokic has carried the Denver Nuggets over the last two games, doing a little bit of everything. Mainly, he's scoring and rebounding for Denver, arguably his two best skills.

Versus the Los Angeles Clippers, Jokic has matched up with Ivica Zubac and Montrezl Harrell primarily, abusing them on the boards. He recorded three in Game 1 but since totaled 18 and 12 in Games 2 and 3. The Nuggets have been outrebounded in all three games of this series, and Jokic led Game 2 in boards and finished second in Game 3.

Jokic's the most consistent player on the Nuggets' roster, and in two non-bubble games versus the Clippers, he recorded 9 and 15 rebounds while not playing more than 31 minutes in either game.

Jokic's projected to play 37 minutes and record 11.6 rebounds in the process. When he plays between 30-39 minutes on the season, Jokic's averaging 10.3 rebounds, and when he surpasses 40 minutes, that number increases to 12.3. In his five postseason games, he's played 39 or more minutes and averaged 9.8 rebounds per game, grabbing 10 or more in three-of-five games.