NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 8/12/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Jamal Murray, Over 19.5 Points + Assists (-113)
Jamal Murray is one of the few Nuggets who still need to get in-game shape after only playing two games in the bubble. Murray's played 25 and 39 minutes in those contests, and he's been efficient going 10-for-25 (40%) for 23 points versus the Jazz and 6-for-10 (60%) and 14 points against the Lakers. Murray will likely play more than 20 minutes in this matchup with the Clippers, and it's already been announced Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet will be out, strengthening his chance for an over.
His point total is 15.5 points, which isn't far-fetched, but he had 8 assists in his first game back and 3 in his last, showing he's still looking for teammates. On the season, he averages 18.8 points and 4.9 assists, and in the bubble, he's at 18.5 points and 5.5 assists in that small sample size. The Clippers rank middle of the pack this season against shooting guards, allowing them to score 22.67 points per game (15th) and a solid fifth-overall with only 4.27 assists per game.
The only difference now is, Beverly, their top perimeter defender is out and so is his backup, Shamet. numberFire's model projects that Murray to record 17.5 points and 4.6 assists, hitting the over in a predicted 29 minutes. On one day of rest this season, he's averaging 18 points and five assists, another good indicator that Murray can hit his target tonight.
Pascal Siakam, Over 17.5 Points (-102)
Pascal Siakam hasn't been the most productive scorer in the bubble, but for the Raptors, he's getting up enough attempts and makes to earn them wins. Siakam has scored above 20 points in two of six games during the bubble, but both were against quality centers in Jonas Valanciunas and Bam Adebayo. He's attempted 15 or more field goals in four of six games and has attempted at least five three-pointers in his last five games.
The 76ers allowed Devin Booker to go for 35, Mikal Bridges score 24, Carmelo Anthony to get 20, and Damian Lillard to go off for 54 since Joel Embiid has gone down with an injury. He's met the 76ers three times this season and averaged 19.7 points on 24-of-60 from the field (40%) but has gone 3-of-18 from deep (16.6%). The Sixers allowed the Blazers to shoot 31% from deep and the Suns 43% without four starters.
numberFire's model predicts Siakam to score 22.7 points, and 2.2 made three-pointers versus the 76ers. Siakam's averaging the highest-usage rate on the team when Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, and Marc Gasol are on the floor. Siakam has played fewer than 30 minutes in two of his last three games and averages 15.6 points in games of 29 minutes or less.