3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 2/10/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Trae Young, Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks escaped last night with a 140-135 double-overtime victory versus the New York Knicks. Young finished with 48 points and 13 assists, playing a season-high 48 minutes. He was questionable going into yesterday's game with an ankle contusion, but traveled to Orlando overnight for tonight's game versus the Magic. Against point guards, Orlando ranks 1st in assists allowed per game (7.0), 6th in rebounds (5.78), and 10th in points (22.90).
Young scored 39 points and 9 assists in their first meeting, but that was only the second game of the season. During his rookie season, he played the Magic four times and averaged 19.0 points, 6.0 assists, and 5.3 rebounds. In the second game of back-to-backs this season, Young has averaged 23.0 points, 7.1 assists, and 4.4 rebounds (eight games). However, in his last game on no rest, he recorded 16 points, 8 rebounds, and 7 assists -- which seems more like it tonight.
This will be the second of three games the Hawks will play in four days, with a trip to Cleveland coming up on Tuesday. With All-Star Weekend looming after the Cavs game for the Hawks, tonight's game is the least likely for a breakout performance. Young is projected by numberFire's model to record 27.1 points, 8.5 assists, and 4.3 rebounds, hitting the under tonight in Orlando.
Christian Wood, Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Christian Wood has stepped in since Andre Drummond's departure, and while he's not replacing 17.8 points and 15.8 rebounds per game, his recent play has proven he's more than a bench player for this rebuilding Pistons team. Wood's averaged 18.6 points and 8.0 rebounds in his last five games, and since the Drummond trade, he's averaged 22.0 points and 11.5 rebounds versus New York and Oklahoma City.
Wood's opponent tonight, the Charlotte Hornets, lacks interior defense against big men, too. Charlotte allows the fourth-most points to power forwards (23.84) and centers (22.65). They also allow the third-most rebounds to centers (17.02) and seventh-most to power forwards (11.77).
The most impressive aspect of Wood's rise is his Player Efficiency Rating (22.62), which ranks 15th in the league. Wood is certainly a threat tonight for 20 points and 10 rebounds matched up with Cody Zeller and PJ Washington. Zeller holds a defense versus position rank of 24, the fifth-highest among centers, and Washington is the fourth-highest among power forwards (23).
Buddy Hield, Over 18.5 Points
Since going to the bench, Buddy Hield is flourishing as the sixth-man for Sacramento, averaging 23.1 points and 5.5 made three-pointers, shooting 51.7% from deep in his last eight games.
Sacramento visits Milwaukee for a matchup with the best team in the league. Against shooting guards, the Bucks rank 14th in points allowed per game (22.39) and give up the 10th-most three-pointers (3.4). The two teams have met once this season, and Hield scored 16 points and hit a pair of threes in 34 minutes.
In Hield's eight-game stretch off the bench, he's made six or more three-pointers in six times and scored 20 or more in five. Over his last five games, he's played above his usage rating average for the season, too (26.90%).
numberFire's model projects Hield to record 20.6 points, hitting the over in 33.67 minutes off the bench tonight.
