3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 12/3/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Clint Capela, Over 15.5 Rebounds
Clint Capela was on a monster rebounding streak before he sat out the past week with an illness. Capela grabbed 19 or more rebounds in seven straight games, including 20 or more in six of those. He averaged 16.6 boards per night in November, 20.4 over his last seven games, and 17.9 over his last 10. If he's healthy and good for no minutes restriction, then he should have a big night versus this 18th-ranked defensive rebounding San Antonio Spurs team.
Capela has 18.6 rebounds per game in his last five road games, and I'm banking on that trend to continue as long as he's expected to see his usual workload.
James Harden, Over 38.5 Points
James Harden put on a show in his 60-point game against the Hawks. He could have possibly beat Kobe Bryant's 81-point game, but Harden sat out the entire fourth quarter for the Rockets. They travel to in-state rival San Antonio today, and after the Spurs couldn't stop anyone on the Pistons, Harden has to be thinking about what he can do in this game.
Harden was in a "slump" where he hadn't scored 40 points in five games until that showing he had versus Atlanta. Still, he averaged 34.3 points per game in the three games prior to his 60-point night, and he's averaging 40.2 points on the road this year.
I think Harden is going to come out firing again versus a team he averaged 37 points against in four games last year.
Brandon Ingram, Over 23.5 Points
Ingram finished an injury-riddled November with 25.4 points per game and has averaged 23.0 points over the first three games of the Pels' five-game homestand. The Mavericks are ranked first in offensive efficiency, and for the Pelicans to keep up today, Ingram should have to score 20-plus points, something he's currently doing at 10-straight games.
Per our models, Ingram is projected to score 22.5 points tonight versus the Mavericks, but that's a number he's topped in five of his past six games. I like taking the over here.