4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 8/6/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. Here are the teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals' offense has not been fun recently, ranking 17th in wOBA over the past 14 days and 19th in wOBA over the past 30. The Matt Holliday injury hasn't helped, and everybody else seems to be in a bit of a rut. Either way, they're facing Michael Lorenzen today, which has slump-busting potential.
Are you physically capable of swinging a bat from the left-handed batter's box? Great, you're suiting up for the Cardinals today. You may not get a hit, but golly gee willickers, you've got a good chance of drawing a walk. Lefties against Lorenzen this year are walking in 14.7 percent of their plate appearances. As far as batted balls go, 30.1 percent of their batted balls have been line drives, and 38.8 percent have been fly balls. If I were a righty, I'd consider flipping that batting helmet around and taking a few hacks. It really can't hurt.
This is a situation where I will strongly consider dipping lower in the order if it means I can find another lefty bat. I say this largely because of Kolten Wong's recent demotion. You're taking a risk in that he will have a lower number of expected plate appearances, but the upside in the plate appearances he will get is huge here. If he hits higher than eighth (which, granted, is where he hit last night), I will have a hard time not slotting him in across the board on the early slate.
Los Angeles Dodgers
How many offenses can I stack that are currently slacking in the stick skills? After ranking near the top of the leaderboards the entire season, the Dodgers rank 15th in wOBA over the past 14 days. It's tough to tell what's signal of a downturn and what's noise, but that little blip isn't enough to knock me off of a stack against David Buchanan.
Buchanan hasn't gotten strikeouts, and he has allowed way too many walks, but he has largely kept the ball on the ground. Although this is based on a small sample size, those ground ball rates decrease against left-handed batters. That leaves the potential for more extra-base hits, meaning I'd favor lefties against Buchanan. As always, the Dodgers do provide that.
In another parallel between the Cardinals' and the Dodgers' game, Los Angeles also has a young guy who has been moved way down in the order in Joc Pederson. He hasn't had a hit since July 25th, and prior to last night, he had struck out in every game since July 20th. Things are not great right now for him. That, plus his $3,900 DraftKings salary, plus his lower spot in the batting order should scare you off of him in cash games. But if you're rolling out a tourney roster, Pederson still provides that high upside. He didn't magically forget how to hit. You may be able to capitalize on reduced ownership if he launches one out and gets back on track.
New York Yankees
Let me just clarify quickly: I like Eduardo Rodriguez as much as the rest of you do. He's going to be totally dope long-term, and he has been sweet in his rookie campaign. However, the Yankees crush lefties, and Rodriguez has struggled against teams that do that this season.
Unfortunately for Rodriguez, he pitches in a division with teams that excel against southpaws. The Blue Jays, Yankees, Rays and Orioles rank 1st, 2nd, 6th and 19th respectively in wOBA. Against those four teams (a total of six starts and 31.2 innings), he has a 5.97 ERA. In his six other starts, his ERA plummets to 2.86. This is also reflected in his strikeout and walk numbers, where he strikes out 6.54 and walks 3.69 batters per nine innings against the A.L. East as opposed to 8.57 and 2.86 respectively against the rest of the league. He's going to be sweet, but he has struggled against quality competition. The Yankees most definitely supply that.
The downside of the Yankees' craziness post-All-Star break is that their DraftKings pricing has become equally bonkers. However, the shining white knight of fantasy delight, Chris Young, is still only $3,300. His ownership might be a bit lower than it would normally be against a lefty with Rodriguez on the mound, and it probably should be. But I'll still roster him, making the rest of the Yankees' salaries a bit more palatable.
Boston Red Sox
I should have learned my lesson by fading the Blue Jays yesterday. That was super dumb, and the results reflected said stupidity. However, they're facing Kyle Gibson today, who has a 3.28 xFIP since May 24th and a high ground-ball rate. I'm going to play with fire by fading them again and rolling with the Red Sox instead.
There are a lot of pitchers in Major League Baseball who confuse the living daylights out of me. CC Sabathia may be at the top of that list. Each of the past three seasons, he has had an ERA a full run higher than his xFIP. That's not supposed to happen, yet it apparently does with Sabathia. This has to have something to do with pitching in Yankee Stadium as his ERA there since the start of 2013 is 5.06. At some point, do we just assume his ERA and xFIP differential is legit?
Sabathia hasn't walked a lefty all season, and he has frankly just straight shut them out. If the Red Sox are smart, they'll load up on righties in the lineup. That's what you should do as well. Guys like Xander Bogaerts and Rusney Castillo have been largely dependent on singles, but they don't strike out against righties. Hanley Ramirez and Mike Napoli have had their issues this year, but those issues haven't crossed over into their abilities to get bags against lefties. I'm more than willing to include them in a Red Sox stack for tonight.