FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 7/16/23
Our daily helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups. Be sure to also incorporate our great tools into your research process.
Whether you're looking for daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, or batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups -- we've got you covered!
Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
| Team | Opp SP | Opp | O/U | Moneyline | Implied Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | Kyle Bradish | BAL | 8.5 | 146 | 3.78 |
| WSH | Jack Flaherty | STL | 9 | 164 | 3.88 |
| KC | Zach Eflin | TB | 9.5 | 194 | 3.9 |
| LAD | Max Scherzer | NYM | 8.5 | 104 | 4.13 |
| SD | Zack Wheeler | PHI | 9 | 130 | 4.13 |
| CHW | Kolby Allard | ATL | 9.5 | 144 | 4.24 |
| ARI | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | 9.5 | 138 | 4.29 |
| CLE | Martin Perez | TEX | 9 | 110 | 4.31 |
| BOS | Justin Steele | CHC | 9.5 | 134 | 4.32 |
| NYM | Bobby Miller | LAD | 8.5 | -122 | 4.37 |
| COL | Gerrit Cole | NYY | 11 | 198 | 4.49 |
| TEX | Tanner Bibee | CLE | 9 | -130 | 4.69 |
| BAL | Steven Okert | MIA | 8.5 | -174 | 4.72 |
| PHI | Seth Lugo | SD | 9 | -154 | 4.87 |
| MIL | Ben Lively | CIN | 10.5 | 106 | 5.08 |
| STL | Josiah Gray | WSH | 9 | -196 | 5.12 |
| CHC | Kutter Crawford | BOS | 9.5 | -158 | 5.18 |
| TOR | Tommy Henry | ARI | 9.5 | -164 | 5.21 |
| ATL | Dylan Cease | CHW | 9.5 | -172 | 5.26 |
| CIN | Adrian Houser | MIL | 10.5 | -124 | 5.42 |
| TB | Jordan Lyles | KC | 9.5 | -235 | 5.6 |
| NYY | Chase Anderson | COL | 11 | -240 | 6.51 |
Pitchers
Zach Eflin ($10,500)
At his second highest salary point this season, Eflin will challenge a Kansas City Royals' lineup with a .316 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 26.3% K-rate for the second time this season.
In his most recent 42.1 innings, the 29-year old has been in premier form through seven starts, accounting for an outstanding 2.87 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP), seven or more strikeouts in 57% of his appearances, and six quality outings.
When considering Eflin's recent metrics, his success versus the Royals (2.75 xFIP, 7 strikeouts in 6 innings), and the tough matchups other pitchers in this salary range are facing, there are plenty of reasons the Rays' right-hander should be evaluated as today's top option against seven Kansas City hitters with K-rates between 22.8% and 36.7%.
Zack Wheeler ($10,000)
After a 1.9% salary decline to his lowest point since May 27th, Philadelphia's veteran rates fourth in value with a 3.62 rating and a 36.2 FanDuel point projection versus a San Diego Padres' offense with a .331 wOBA and a 24.7% K-rate against right-handed pitching.
While some may be concerned with Wheeler's bloated 4.81 Earned Run Average since June 2nd, the 33-year old is trending towards better performances when comparing his recent ERA with other skill related metrics including a 3.50 xFIP and a 3.54 Skilled Interactive Earned Run Average (SIERA).
Stacks
After breaking out for six runs on Saturday night, the Yankees remain today's top option for stacking with a slate-high 6.5 expected run total against Chase Anderson.
In his first stint pitching for the Rockies, the veteran has been batted around consistently through 44.2 innings, accounting for a miserable 5.28 xFIP and a non-threatening 17.2% K-rate while allowing an eye-popping 5.56 xFIP versus the right side of the plate.
With his main weakness in mind, ideal New York correlations should attack Anderson's unique reverse splits by featuring Giancarlo Stanton (15.8% barrel rate, .344 expected wOBA), Gleyber Torres (.352 expected wOBA, 7.6% barrel rate), Harrison Bader (8.0% barrel rate), and Anthony Volpe (9.3% barrel rate, .315 expected wOBA).
Jordan Lyles will take the mound at home in a challenging spot against a Tampa Bay lineup ranked second on Sunday with a 5.6 expected run total.
Through 96.2 innings, the 32-year old has been one of the worst starters in the Majors this season, recording an ugly 5.37 xFIP, a low 16.7% strikeout percentage, and a concerning 10.5% opposing barrel percentage.
With overall neutral splits, any combination of Tampa Bay's top hitters from the left or right side could work into a potential stack including Brandon Lowe (12.0% barrel rate), Wander Franco (.349 expected wOBA, .292 expected average), Randy Arozarena (.374 expected wOBA, 15.0% barrel rate), Luke Raley (.366 expected wOBA, 15.8% barrel rate), and Josh Lowe (.333 expected wOBA, 11.4% barrel rate).
In a matchup versus Tommy Henry, the Blue Jays stand as an undervalued option with a 5.2 expected run total against a low-strikeout left-hander with inconsistent control (9.3% walk rate) and serious regression (3.75 ERA, 5.36 xFIP) heading his way.
Potential Toronto stacks can feature any of their top power bats from the right side to attack Henry's trouble in this split (5.20 xFIP, .326 wOBA) including George Springer (.353 expected wOBA, 8.9% barrel rate), Bo Bichette (10.1% barrel rate, .374 expected wOBA), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.396 expected wOBA, 13.7% barrel rate), Matt Chapman (.360 expected wOBA, 17.7% barrel rate), and Danny Jansen (9.9% barrel rate).
