MLB Prop Bets to Target on Monday 9/26/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Austin Riley To Record an RBI (+105)
The Atlanta Braves have a favorable matchup tonight and plenty of player props to consider.
They are carrying a slate-high 5.41 implied run total and should be able to reach and exceed that level tonight. They are taking on Cory Abbott, a young pitcher with a limited sample size who has certainly struggled with his time in the MLB.
This season, Abbott has allowed a .452 SLG, a.320 wOBA, 5.45 xFIP, 1.86 HR/9, and 55.0% fly-ball rate to right-handed hitters. Numbers such as those gives opposing righties plenty of power upside and that leads us to Austin Riley.
Riley is having an elite season with a 123 wRC+, .349 wOBA, .227 ISO, 38.0% fly-ball rate, and a 38.9% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers. Riley has gone six games without an RBI, and while I hate to use the phrase "he's due", that describes it best -- especially with a favorable matchup tonight.
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+104)
For a strikeout prop, we turn to Kevin Gausman.
Gausman is having a strong season and comes in with a 28.2% strikeout rate. That's come with a high 15.5% swinging-strike rate. He's one of the elite pitchers in the league and now has a chance to show off some of that strike-out potential.
He's taking on the New York Yankees, who are carrying a 22.3% strikeout rate on the season versus right-handed pitchers (16th in the league). While they are right at the league average for the entire season, it doesn't tell what they've been doing recently.
Over the last 14 days, the Yankees have had a 25.1% strikeout versus righties (11th-worst in the league). Their offensive struggles have been noticeable on this side of the All-Star Break, and they are giving away chances at the plate. All of this should put Gausman in a great spot to post over 6.5 strikeouts tonight.