FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Saturday 7/9/22
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Framber Valdez ($!0,700)
Despite a 5.9% salary increase to his highest point this season, Valdez presents a reliable option in all formats with a 3.13 expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) Rating and a 22.6% strikeout percentage in 101.0 innings.
Houston's left-hander will take the mound on Saturday afternoon in a favorable spot against an Oakland Athletics' lineup with a weak 0.279 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a low 75.0% contact rate.
As numberFire's second overall rated pitcher, Valdez's Saturday pitching expectation includes 35.3 FanDuel points and 5.6 strikeouts in 5.6 projected innings.
Brandon Woodruff ($10,000)
Since his return in June, Woodruff has been trending in the right direction, recording 18 strikeouts and a superb 1.19 xFIP in last two starts.
With ideal recent form and a great opportunity to sustain his momentum versus a Pittsburgh Pirates' team with a .284 wOBA and a 25.5% K-rate, Milwaukee's right-hander offers a sky-high ceiling as numberFire's top option with a 36.4 FanDuel point expectation and 6.9 projected strikeouts
Kyle Wright ($9,900)
Atlanta's right-hander is another option to consider versus a Washington Nationals' lineup with an overall .287 wOBA and a 24.0% strikeout percentage in their last 488 plate appearances in this particular split.
In his largest Major League sample size as a starting pitcher, the 26-year old has performed at a career-best level this season, accounting for a 3.43 expected FIP and an effective 25.1% K-rate in 96.0 total innings.
At his lowest salary point since May 26th, Wright offers intriguing upside as numberFire's third ranked pitcher with a 34.1 fantasy projection and 6.39 strikeouts in 5.6 expected innings.
In a matchup versus Patrick Corbin, Atlanta's offense stands as an important decision point for Saturday's nine-game slate with a 6.0 expected mark.
While the veteran lefty has recently cut down his expected FIP to a 3.91 mark in his last six starts, Corbin has struggled with managing hard contact, allowing a 11.2% barrel rate and 15.5% home-run to fly-ball percentage in 34.1 innings.
With a lean towards trouble versus right-handed bats (4.06 xFIP in 69.2 innings this season), Atlanta stacks can start with Ronald Acuna (14.9% barrel rate, .393 expected wOBA), Austin Riley (13.8% barrel percentage, .580 expected slugging), Dansby Swanson (11.7% barrel percentage, .551 expected slugging), Travis d'Arnaud (9.2% barrel rate, .465 expected slugging, or Marcell Ozuna (.572 expected slugging, 14% barrel rate) while Matt Olson (11.9% barrel rate, .358 expected weighted on-base average) can also be mixed in.
Oakland's inexperienced left-hander Zach Logue will make his sixth career start versus an intimidating Houston lineup with an undervalued 5.6 implied run total.
Through 24.2 innings this season, Logue has profiled as a below-average starter with a poor 5.40 xFIP and a 18.6% strikeout percentage, while his Triple-A production (6.76 xFIP in 2022, 4.10 xFIP in 2021) also supports this perception.
With overall neutral splits, Jose Altuve (9% barrel rate, .376 expected wOBA), Aledmys Diaz (.412 expected slugging), and Alex Bregman (.372 expected wOBA, .471 expected slugging) stand out as potential infield options while Yordan Alvarez (19% barrel rate, .751 expected slugging) and Kyle Tucker (11.2% barrel percentage, .412 expected wOBA) can still utilized despite batting from the left side.
Jon Heasley will take the hill in a divisional matchup versus a Cleveland Guardians' team with an underestimated 4.6 run total.
In his second opportunity to start in the Majors, the 25-year old has replicated his poor 2021 MLB performance, recording a 5.28 xFIP and a 11.6% walk rate in 51.0 innings.
With obvious trouble against lefty bats (5.23 expected FIP, 20.0% home-run to fly-ball percentage), a sneaky Guardians' stack can start with their most popular hitter in Jose Ramirez (.458 expected slugging, 6.4% barrel rate) while Franmil Reyes (17.7% barrel rate), Josh Naylor (.500 expected slugging, 9.6% barrel rate) and Andres Gimenez (7.7% barrel rate, .367 expected wOBA) present upside when considering their recent batted ball form.