5 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 8/14/19
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
An 0-for-4 dud from a chalky high-priced slugger is a lot more common than a total dud from a top-priced NBA player or even than a stinker from a top quarterback or running back.
That means that it's not uncommon for value plays to end up doing the heavy lifting in carrying your lineup. The fact that they can be the difference between a good and a great lineup isn't much different than other sports, but value plays being able to make up for a whiff on a high-priced play completely is somewhat unique.
Let's get right into it and take a look at the top value options on today's slate.
Joc Pederson, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,200)
Hitting lead-off for the Dodgers against right-handed pitching, Joc Pederson at $3,200 dollars tonight is a pretty good value. Pederson has owned right-handed pitching this season, with all 24 of his home runs coming against righties along with a .244/.343/.526 slash line.
His opposition tonight is Marlins starter, Elieser Hernandez. Hernandez has been pretty bad this season with a 4.94 ERA/5.66 FIP and 11 home runs surrendered in 47 ⅓ innings. He struggled pretty badly in his last appearance against the Dodgers, allowing four earned runs in 2⁄3 of an inning. All of this should lead to a pretty big game from the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight, and with Joc at the top of the lineup, he should benefit.
Todd Frazier, 3B, New York Mets ($3,000)
Todd Frazier against lefties is a value most nights. Frazier has always hit better against lefties, but the results this season have been more drastic than most of his career.
On the season Frazier is slashing .302/.381/.581 with six of his 15 home runs on the season in 97 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, compared to a .216/.289/.369 with nine home runs in 266 plate appearances against right-handed pitching.
Tonight, Frazier faces Dallas Keuchel. While that isn’t an entirely optimal matchup, Frazier’s numbers against left-handed pitching speak for themselves. At just $3,000 dollars, Frazier should easily outproduce his price tonight.
Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets ($2,500)
I’m really not sure why Amed Rosario is so cheap tonight. Rosario has been on an extended hot streak dating back to June 29th. Since that date, Rosario is hitting .331/.366/.485 with three home runs and four stolen bases.
Rosario also fares better against left-handed pitching. Rosario has a .893 OPS against lefties, compared to a .703 mark against righties. Five of Rosario’s 12 home runs on the season have come against left-handed pitching, while only having 113 plate appearances against lefties, compared to 361 plate appearances against righties. Rosario is somebody who’s going to be in all of my lineups tonight at a minuscule $2,500 dollar price.
JD Davis, OF, New York Mets ($3,200)
Despite Fanduel starting to move his price up, J.D. Davis remains in this article. At $3,200, Davis still represents a pretty big value. Since moving into an everyday role on July 25th, Davis is slashing .389/.462/.778, which is just insanely productive, especially at the prices he’s been put at.
Tonight, Davis faces left-handed pitcher Dallas Keuchel. Davis’s numbers against lefties are fantastic. In 111 plate appearances, Davis is slashing .310/.378/.530 with five of his 14 home runs on the season.
Domingo Santana, OF, Seattle Mariners ($3,300)
Domingo Santana has struggled a bit recently as shown by his .606 OPS over his last 28 games, but he’s continued to hit the ball insanely hard and him being a value is almost entirely because of his matchup.
Tonight Santana faces Tigers starter, Edwin Jackson. In nine games this season, Jackson has a 9.35 ERA/8.23 FIP, 1.96 WHIP, and has allowed 13 home runs in 34 ⅔ innings. There’s a legitimate argument that Jackson has been the worst starting pitcher in all of baseball, and at just $3,300 dollars tonight, Santana has a chance to take advantage of a great matchup at a reasonable price.
James Kohout is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, James Kohout also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username jt2115. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.