4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 6/6/19
Despite getting a smaller main slate on Thursday, there's plenty of potential for some high scores from multiple spots, with four teams showing implied totals of 4.80 or better tonight.
Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.
Premium members can use our stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.
Now, let's get to the stacks.
Not only will the Rangers benefit from just under 90-degree weather at Globe Life Park, but they face DFS punching bag David Hess, who's allowed 2.33 home runs per nine innings dating back to 2018 and has given up the most home runs in the league this season (19). As one might expect, with numbers like that he's struggled in both of his big league campaigns, and this year he owns a lackluster 5.21 SIERA while allowing a 40.7% hard-hit rate and 51.4% fly-ball rate. Add in that he's coughed up a massive 15.3% barrel rate, and it's easy to see why he's getting crushed by the long ball.
Between these pristine hitting conditions, a weak starting pitcher, and a shoddy Baltimore Orioles bullpen, pretty much the entire Rangers lineup is fair game tonight. Shin-Soo Choo ($4,000), Nomar Mazara ($3,700) and Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,700) are all making lots of hard-contact and will attack Hess as lefties, with Choo in particular popping on Statcast, giving some support to his surprising .244 ISO this season. Hunter Pence ($4,200) also continues to see shocking newfound life at the plate and owns a hefty 48.8% hard-hit rate of his own.
New York Yankees
Sure, Jackson has perhaps experienced some poor luck in his four starts (407 BABIP, 40.5% strand rate, 28.6% homer-to-fly rate), but you'll have a tough time finding anything positive to say about his 2019 resume -- let alone what he has done over the past few years.
Were the season to end today, Jackson will have posted his fourth straight campaign with a SIERA of 4.98 or worse and a strikeout rate below 18%, and his 2019 marks don't come very close to either of those modest thresholds at 5.23 and 14.1%. And if that wasn't enough, he's also allowing a 46.2% hard-hit rate and a 13.8% barrel rate.
Like the Rangers, pretty much everyone is a strong play in a Yankees stack, and with another shellacking, Jackson may not be long for the Blue Jays' rotation. Gary Sanchez ($4,500) and Luke Voit ($4,300) are our best bets for a dinger, but Aaron Hicks ($3,500), Gleyber Torres ($3,900), and Clint Frazier ($3,700) are more than capable, too. Meanwhile, guys like Kendrys Morales ($2,700) and Brett Gardner ($3,200) won't break the bank and will have the platoon advantage.
The Orioles can also take advantage of the great hitting weather in Arlington and have a solid 4.80 implied total against Ariel Jurado.
Jurado doesn't come across as quite the gimme matchup as Hess or Jackson, as he owns a solid 52.0% ground-ball rate at the Major League level and has improved his SIERA (4.29) and strikeout rate (17.6%) compared to last season. But we're still talking about a very limited 2019 sample (29.2 innings), and he was truly dreadful across 54.2 innings in 2018 with a 5.28 SIERA and 9.1% strikeout rate. He's showing slightly better velocity this year, which could explain some of his better results, but this is still far from intimidating set of numbers, and he's never shown a high strikeout rate in the minors, either.
Of course, the great thing about stacking the Orioles is they'll never break the bank, and Trey Mancini ($3,900), Dwight Smith ($3,400), and Renato Nunez ($3,600) are the only batters priced above $3,000. Hanser Alberto ($2,700) remains cheap atop the lineup, while Chris Davis ($2,200) and Keon Broxton ($2,800) offer boom-or-bust power lower in the order.
Los Angeles Angels
Lastly, the Los Angeles Angels get a familiar stacking target in Mike Fiers, who's posted a 5.20 SIERA and 16.4% strikeout rate while allowing a 39.7% hard-hit rate and 43.5% fly-ball rate. Giving up dingers is nothing new for Fiers, as he's allowing 1.68 dingers per nine innings this year and allowed marks of 1.67 in 2018 and 1.88 in 2017.
Mike Trout ($4,800) and Shohei Ohtani ($3,500) are the clear favorites here, and you can also look to Kole Calhoun ($3,600), who's produced a 44.6% hard-hit rate and 38.6% fly-ball rate against righties since the start of 2018. Tommy La Stella ($3,200) is perhaps the biggest surprise of 2019 but has excellent expected stats, per Statcast, along with a 40.0% hard-hit rate and 7.3% strikeout rate. Albert Pujols ($3,100) isn't super exciting anymore, but he's hitting more fly balls this year and has a solid .223 ISO.
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