FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for 11/12/22

As always, we're covering FanDuel's main slate, which kicks off at 10 a.m. EST on Saturday. All betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook and FoxBet, and they may change after the article is published.

Slate Overview

Leeds (+440) at Tottenham (-170)
Over 2.5 Goals: -154 | Most Likely to Score: Kane (-111)

Leicester (+270) at West Ham (+100)
Over 2.5 Goals: -112 | Most Likely to Score: Scamacca (+162)

Southampton (+1000) at Liverpool (-410)
Over 2.5 Goals: -270 | Most Likely to Score: Salah (-130)

Crystal Palace (+140) at Nottingham Forest (+210)
Over 2.5 Goals: +116 | Most Likely to Score: Zaha (+180)

Everton (+160) at Bournemouth (+175)
Over 2.5 Goals: +110 | Most Likely to Score: Solanke (+200)

Chelsea (+210) at Newcastle (+130)
Over 2.5 Goals: -112 | Most Likely to Score: Wilson (+165)

Arsenal (-195) at Wolves (+500)
Over 2.5 Goals: -132 | Most Likely to Score: Jesus (+120)

Positional Breakdown
Forwards/Midfielders

This might be the trickiest slate of the year. Not only is it a large one -- with seven matches, two of which start after the first five matches have locked -- but it's the final weekend before the World Cup, so we could see key players sit out as they rest up for the big event. I'm writing this earlier than usual this week (due to a Friday holiday), so it's possible some of the players I recommend will end up not playing.

Stacking comes with more opportunity cost on a bigger slate, but there is one side that fits the stacking criteria we're looking for -- Liverpool. The Reds are home to Southampton, a side that has allowed the sixth-most goals this campaign. Liverpool are -400 to score at least twice and -133 to score over 2.5 goals -- both are which are slate-best marks by a mile.

Mohamed Salah ($22; -130 to score), Darwin Nunez ($19; -125) and Roberto Firmino ($20; +100) will likely start in a front three. Salah and Firmino will not be taking part in the World Cup, so they should be fully unleashed. Salah will be popular, but the size of the slate may keep his draft percentage from getting too out of hand.

After Liverpool, it's Spurs and Arsenal as the standout sides. A plus in Spurs' corner is that they play at 10 a.m. EST as part of the slate's first wave of matches, so we won't have to do any guessing in regards to their lineup. That's not the case for the Gunners, who play at 2:45 p.m. EST in the slate's final fixture.

Tottenham are home to Leeds, and while Spurs' attack hasn't been all that potent lately, this could be the perfect get-right spot for Antonio Conte's squad. Leeds have allowed at least 1.5 expected goals (xG) in three straight matches, per FBRef, and they shipped three goals apiece to Bournemouth and Fulham in that span. Tottenham are -182 to score at least two goals.

Harry Kane ($21; -110) is my favorite play on this slate, and while he's not going to slip through the cracks by any means, I think there's a chance he's not as popular as he should be with Liverpool and Arsenal also in such good spots. With Son Heung-min injured, Tottenham's attack is very reliant on Kane. He's scored in seven of his past nine appearances.

If you want to pivot off Kane, you can turn to Richarlison ($16; +130) or Dejan Kulusevski ($16; +290). Richarlison is just returning from injury and might not be risked after he was included in the Brazil squad. Both stand to benefit from this matchup, though, and won't be nearly as chalky as Kane is.

As for Arsenal, the Gunners just keep getting it done. They're -195 to win at Wolves and -187 to net two-plus goals. Gabriel Jesus ($20; +120), Gabriel Martinelli ($18; +195) and Bukayo Saka ($18; +190) have the top goal odds among Arsenal's usual starters. If Arsenal choose to rest any of that trio -- all three will be World Cup participants -- Eddie Nketiah ($14; +130) could get a start. But if you budget for Nketiah and he doesn't play, you may be stuck using Thomas Partey ($13; +600), who isn't typically a goal threat.

Arsenal, Liverpool and Spurs are the sides I am prioritizing. After that, I'm super interested in West Ham's Gianluca Scamacca ($15; +162). The salary is nice, and the goal odds are pretty good for a home clash with Leicester. The Foxes' defense has struggled this season, permitting the third-most goals.

Added time -- Wilfried Zaha ($19; +180) is a fun GPP play. He's not going to be in many lineups, and Palace will likely be able to generate chances at Forest. ... Newcastle are slight favorites over Chelsea, and Callum Wilson ($18; +165) has the top goal odds in that match. ... Neal Maupay ($14; +210) could start at striker for Everton with Dominic Calvert-Lewin dinged up, and the matchup at the Cherries is a good one.

Defenders

The bigger a slate is, the more I want to save salary at defender, so I can have my pick of all the good attacking options. Among the low-salary defenders, I'm eyeing Leeds' Robin Koch ($9), Southampton's Lyanco ($8) and Wolves' Maximilian Kilman ($9). All three play for sides that are big underdogs, so they should be busy, giving them a solid floor.

If you want attacking upside, there are plenty of good routes to take.

Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold ($13) and Andy Robertson ($11) are excellent choices. They should have chances to get forward versus the Saints, and both come in at reasonable salaries.

Tottenham's Ivan Perisic ($11) offers attacking juice, as well. Heck, he started up front in Spurs' last match, and there's a chance he's in a similar role. A Kane-Perisic stack is easy to fit in with Perisic at this modest salary.

Oleksandr Zinchenko ($11) is another full-back in an appealing matchup. He should have chances to push forward at Wolves and can be an ideal stacking partner for one of Arsenal's attackers.

Added time -- Kieran Tripper ($15) has been outstanding this season, producing 19.7 FanDuel points per match. He gets a lift from his work on set-pieces and corners, and his $15 salary should keep the masses away. ... Nathan Collins ($11) has scored exactly 14.3 FanDuel points in three of his past four matches and can turn in a similar outing versus the Gunners as he'll surely be needed at the back. ... Palace's Tyrick Mitchell ($9) is a low-salary full-back in a good matchup at Forest.

Goalies

Alisson ($14), Hugo Lloris ($13) and Aaron Ramsdale ($13) are the best options if you're after the win bonus and/or clean-sheet bonus. Alisson has slate-best marks in both, boasting +110 clean-sheet odds against Leeds in a match that Liverpool are -410 to win. Ramsdale is +135 to blank Wolves and -195 to win. Lloris is -170 to win and +162 to record a clean sheet.

Of the three, I side with Ramsdale. Wolves have been awful in attack, scoring only eight goals in 14 EPL matches while the Gunners have not allowed a goal in any of their last three EPL matches.

Vicente Guaita ($11) has the next-best clean-sheet odds as he's +195 to keep Forest from scoring. Forest have mustered just 10 goals through 14 games. The match is a slate-low +116 to go over 2.5 goals.

Among the low-salary keepers, Dean Henderson ($8) -- who is on the opposite end of the Palace-Forest fixture -- intrigues me the most. Palace have generated just 12.8 xG, the second-fewest, so he shouldn't allow too much damage, and Forest's shoddy defense gives Henderson upside through save volume.

Added time -- Lukasz Fabianski ($12) is +190 to blank Leicester and +100 to win. With Henderson and Lloris just $1 more, Fabianski figures to go overlooked. ... You can make a case for both of Jordan Pickford ($12) and Mark Travers ($10) in the Everton-Bournemouth clash. Neither attack has done a whole lot, so it's a good place to go clean-sheet hunting. The match is +110 to go over 2.5 goals.