Premier League Betting Guide: Matchweek 9
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.
Bournemouth vs. Leicester
Leicester to win +110
Leicester are 19th in the league through the first eight games of the season, but they have faced a brutal schedule so far with matches against Tottenham, Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal and Brighton -- all of whom are in the top six in the table.
Despite this gauntlet, Leicester have just a -3.7 expected goal differential (xGD), per FBRef, compared to a league-worst -9.6 xGD for Bournemouth. Yes, Bournemouth are ahead of the Foxes in the table by five points, but they have been fortunate to get results. In their last two games, the Cherries have drawn to Newcastle and Brentford while being outshot 13-7 and 20-10.
Despite what the standings say, Bournemouth are facing a superior opponent, and they will likely have a tough time, even at home.
Brighton vs. Tottenham
Brighton and Tottenham are almost even in the table, with Spurs ahead by three points but with Brighton holding an extra game in hand. The teams are almost dead even on xGD, as well, with Tottenham holding a +3.5 xGD, compared to +3.1 for Brighton.
Brighton have played extremely even games with some of the top teams in the league this season. They drew Liverpool 3-3 last week, drew Newcastle 0-0 and won 2-1 at Manchester United in an even game where they were slightly outshot (17-15).
This game figures to be a tight affair, and a draw is a good betting option.
Arsenal vs. Liverpool
Arsenal to win +160
Arsenal are looking like they may have a special season, as they are in first place through the first eight league games with a 7W-0D-1L record. Liverpool are having an extremely disappointing start at 2-4-1, but they are obviously expected to finish toward the top of the table when the season is over.
Arsenal’s strong start should not be discounted. The Gunners have won five games by two-plus goals, and they defeated rivals Tottenham last week with a fairly comfortable 3-1 victory. The Gunners are 4-0-0 at home this season and are obviously in much better form than Liverpool are early this campaign. The Gunners' xGD is +8.4, well ahead of the Reds' +5.5 mark.
Arsenal have a great chance to win this game and keep their strong season going, as they look to hold off Manchester City for as long as possible.