Premier League Betting Guide: Matchweek 37
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.
Watford vs Leicester
Leicester to Win (+100)
Leicester have had a far better season than Watford so far this year. They hold a 12W-9D-14L record that is good enough for 10th place currently. Leicester have taken care of the weaker teams in the league this season, going 4-1-0 against the three teams currently in the relegation zone -- including a 4-2 win against Watford earlier this season.
Watford are the second worst team in the EPL this season by most metrics.They have already been relegated, only earning 23 points in 36 matches. Watford are 0-1-6 in their last seven games, and they have only scored four goals in that span. They will have a tough time getting anything from this match and they may not be motivated, as they have already been relegated.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace and Draw (-140)
Aston Villa and Crystal Palace are almost dead even in the table with Palace ahead by 1 point. Palace are also five goals ahead on goal difference and 6.7 goals ahead on xGD (expected goal difference), so they are even more ahead of Villa in the more predictive statistical category.
Crystal Palace are 10-14-11 this season in the league, giving them a win/draw rate of 68.57%. Villa have only won 13 of their first 35 league games, giving them a win rate of 37.14%. We have a lot of data from this season, and the odds are in favor of Palace at least earning a draw from this match.
Even away from home, Palace are 4-6-7, giving them a 58.82% win/draw rate. Villa have only won 35.29% of their home matches.
Leeds vs Brighton
Brighton to Win (+155)
Brighton are having a surprisingly good season at 11-14-11. That's good enough for ninth place in the league. They are in great form, just defeating Wolves 3-0 and Manchester United 4-0 in consecutive games.
On the flip side, Leeds have lost their last three games by a combined score of 9-1, and they have fallen into the relegation zone in 18th place. Leeds have conceded 77 goals this season, which is only one fewer than last place Norwich.
Brighton should be able to win this game. They are clearly the more talented side and they are in much better form than Leeds as well.