Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 27
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.
Burnley vs. Chelsea
Burnley Win and Draw: +155
Burnley are in the relegation zone with only 21 points from 25 matches, but they have been a difficult team to beat this season. Burnley are 3W-12D-10L, giving them a win/draw rate of 60%, and they are 2-4-2 in their last 8 matches.
Chelsea come into this game at 14-8-3 and are in 3rd place, but Burnley have proven they can hang with even the strongest opponents. Burnley tied Chelsea away earlier this season, and they also earned draws against Manchester United, Arsenal, and West Ham, who are 4th-6th in the table. They also have beat seventh-place Tottenham, so Burnley have given the best teams in the league a difficult time.
Burnley have a good chance to at least draw this game, and the plus odds make this an enticing betting opportunity.
Newcastle vs. Brighton
Newcastle to win +175
Newcastle were stuck in the relegation zone for the majority of the season, but they finally bounced back in a big way in the new year. The Magpies are 4-1-0 in their last five matches and they are unbeaten in their last seven games, elevating them to 14th in the table despite an atrocious start to their season.
Brighton are trending in the opposite direction, losing each of their last three matches by a combined score of 7-0. Brighton have lost 3-0 to Burnley (18th place) and 2-0 to Aston Villa (13th place) in their last two matches.
Newcastle are beginning to look like a decent team, and they should have a good chance to carry their momentum to a third straight home victory.
Watford vs. Arsenal
Arsenal to win -165
Arsenal have won three straight games, and the Gunners have gone 7-1-1 in their last nine matches, putting them in sixth place with three games in hand over fourth-place Manchester United and fifth-place West Ham. The Gunners are 14-3-7 overall and are 4-1-0 against the teams currently in the relegation zone, including a win over Watford earlier this season.
Watford are 5-4-17 on the year, meaning they have lost 65.38% of their games this season. Watford are 19th in the table, only two points ahead of last place Norwich, they are 19th in expected goal difference (xGD) and 18th in actual goal difference. There is no doubt that Watford are one of the worst teams in the league, and Arsenal should expect to easily grab three points here.