Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 23

Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd this week?

Let's see where we can zero in.

Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.

Watford vs Norwich

Norwich and Draw -140

Norwich are having a difficult season at 3W-4D-14L in the league but they did earn a 2-1 victory over Everton last week as they are pushing to avoid relegation. Watford are only one point ahead of Norwich in the table, although they do have two games in hand, so this is a critical match for both teams.

Watford are 4-2-13 on the season and they have the 3rd worst xGD (expected goal difference from FBRef) in the league at -15.8. They are barely above Norwich in this category (-18.3), further indicating there is not much separating the two sides. Watford are also 0-1-6 in their last 7 matches, so they are in terrible form at the moment. Norwich should be expecting to get at least a point from this one.

Everton vs Aston Villa

Everton to win +175

Everton are coming off a difficult loss to Norwich last week but their 1-1-3 record in their last 5 is identical to Villa’s record in their last 5, so both teams are in similar mediocre form.

Home field advantage could prove critical for Everton, as they are 4-1-4 at home this year, while Villa are 3-0-7 away. Villa are 4 points ahead in the overall table but they trail Everton by 2.1 goals in xGD. This is a game between two evenly matched sides but home field advantage should give Everton an edge.At almost 2-1 odds, Everton to win is a good value bet.

Manchester United vs West Ham

West Ham and Draw -120

Manchester United are favorites in name only because they trail West Ham in most key categories so far this season. The Hammers are 2 points ahead of United in the table and they are 6 goals ahead on actual goal difference and 10.4 goals ahead on xGD.

West Ham is 3-0-2 in their last 5 matches compared to 2-2-1 for Manchester United, both teams are in similar form. West Ham have been a good away team this year with a 6-2-3 road record compared to just a 5-1-4 home record for Manchester United. West Ham should expect to get at least a draw from this match and the Hammers to win at +300 is a tempting bet as well.