Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 20
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.
Watford vs. West Ham
West Ham to win +115
West Ham have lost two straight matches, but they still are having a good season at 8W-4D-6L. The Hammers have a +2.3 expected goal differential (xGD), per FBRef, and they are only seven points off fourth-place Arsenal with a game in hand, so their Champions League hopes are very much alive.
West Ham face Watford on Tuesday, and Watford are having a terrible season, sitting all the way down to 17th place. Watford have lost four consecutive games, and they are 4-1-11 overall with a -12.2 xGD. Watford has not been particularly good at home, either, going 2-1-5 with a -7 goal difference in their home matches.
West Ham should have no problem winning this game, even playing away from home.
Southampton vs. Tottenham
Tottenham to win +110
Tottenham have been a little bit streaky this season, but they have hit a hot streak recently, going 4-1-0 in their last five matches. Antonio Conte has them playing well. This has propelled Spurs to 9-2-5 on the season, which is good enough for fifth place in the league. Tottenham have a +9 goal difference in their last five, and the only game they failed to win in that span was against second-place Liverpool (2-2 draw).
Southampton are 4-8-6 this season with a -1.8 xGD and -9 goal difference, and they are 1-3-1 in their last five. Southampton are not as talented as Spurs, and they are not in as good of form as Tottenham is, either. Tottenham should win this game.
Everton vs. Newcastle
Everton to win -110
Everton are having a disappointing start to their season at 5-4-8, but Newcastle are having a disastrous start at 1-7-10. Newcastle are in 19th in the league table and are last in the league in xGD (-17.5).
While Everton have also struggled this year, they have started much better off than Newcastle. The Toffees have 19 points from 17 matches and have been decent at home this year at 4-1-3 at Goodison. They face a Newcastle team that is winless away from home at 0-3-6, so they should be able to take three points from this clash.