Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 18
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.
Aston Villa vs Burnley
Aston Villa to win -135
Aston Villa are 7W-1D-9L this season, and they look destined for a mid-table finish. Villa have been good at home this year, sporting a 4-1-3 and 50% home win rate.
Villa face a poor Burnley side that is 1-8-6 overall and 0-4-4 away from home. Villa are also in better form than Burnley, going 4-0-2 in their last six games, while the Clarets are winless in their last five matches.
Villa should be expected to win this game at home, and Burnley would be fortunate to get even a point from this match.
Leeds vs Arsenal
Arsenal to win -110
Arsenal defeated West Ham in their midweek match to move the Gunners into the top four. Arsenal have rebounded the last two weeks with two victories by a combined score of 5-0 following back-to-back defeats in their two prior outings.
Leeds are a poor side this year at 3-7-7 with a -15 goal difference and -8.9 expected goal differential, per FBRef, which is the fourth-worst in the league. Leeds suffered an embarrassing 7-0 defeat to Manchester City midweek, and while Arsenal are not the same quality as City, the Gunners are still a talented side with Champions League aspirations.
Arsenal should win this game, and getting them at almost even odds is a nice bet.
Wolves vs Chelsea
Wolves And Draw +140
Wolves are 7-3-7 on the year, giving them a 58.82% win/draw rate. Wolves are a very good defensive team, allowing only 14 goals in 17 games, which gives them the third-best goal prevention in the league so far this season. Wolves' defense has been particularly stingy of late, conceding only two goals across their last six matches.
Chelsea are obviously a strong team, but they are only 4-2-2 against the top half of the table this season -- a 50% win rate. Chelsea will likely find it difficult to break through Wolves, and Wolves should be able to get at least a point at home.