FanDuel Soccer: Champions League DFS Helper for 12/2/20
|Barcelona at Ferencvaros||Barca (-200)||-182||Griezmann (-145)|
|Chelsea at Sevilla||Chelsea (+145)||-108||Werner (+150)|
|Dynamo Kyiv at Juventus||Juve (-380)||-146||Ronaldo (-260)|
|Lazio at Dortmund||Dortmund (-165)||-198||Haaland (-180)|
|PSG at Manchester United||PSG (+135)||-156||Mbappe (+110)|
|Zenit at Brugge||Brugge (+110)||-134||Azmoun (+155)|
Juventus are the slate's biggest favorite, and they're a team we can stack as they're -380 to win at home against Dynamo Kyiv. Cristiano Ronaldo ($22; -260) has the best goal odds on the slate and will likely be the slate's most popular player. He has eight goals in four Serie A starts this season, and he'll be on penalties. Ronaldo has multi-goal upside in this match.
Paulo Dybala ($18; -110), Alvaro Morata ($20; -125), Federico Bernardeschi ($11; +125) are good stacking partners with Ronaldo or can be pivots off him depending on how you want to handle CR7. Morata has three goals and three assists in seven league starts. In the UCL, he's been on fire, netting five goals in four matches. Dybala may not start but will handle some set-piece work if he does. Bernardeschi has good goal odds at a low salary. Juve have already qualified for the knockout rounds, so there could be even more value here if they rotate their squad.
Barcelona (-200) and Dortmund (-165) are the other big favorites, but I'll probably stay away from stacking them.
We're not going to see Lionel Messi in this one, but Barcelona are still -200 to win. Antoine Griezmann ($19; -145) should be a focal point of the Catalans' attack. Griezmann may be finding his form, too, as he's got three goals and two assists in his past three La Liga games, including a stunning volley last weekend. The Frenchmen also scored a goal in UCL play at Dynamo in a match in which Messi didn't play.
In that same match, Martin Braithwaite ($15; +150) scored twice, including a pen, so he could handle penalties sans Messi -- though that role may fall to Griezmann, who has taken Barca's lone non-Messi penalty in La Liga. Ousmane Dembele ($18; +170) also sports solid goal odds and is worth a long look if he gets into the starting XI.
Dortmund are decent-sized favorites over Lazio. Erling Haaland ($23; -185) has every bit the DFS upside Ronaldo does. He's already bagged 10 goals in seven domestic league starts, and he's tacked on two assists, as well. In UCL action, he's scored six goals in four starts and can break a slate in pretty much any matchup. Jadon Sancho ($20; +125) is an enticing pivot off Haaland, and Giovanni Reyna ($11; +260) is easy to like at his salary, especially if he's in a number-10 role behind Haaland.
I expect the masses to flock to Ronaldo, Haaland, and Griezmann, so the Manchester United-PSG clash could go overlooked. It's a crucial match for both sides, and it's a difficult one to project, with PSG (+135) a slight favorite.
I'm always going to be interested in the possibility of getting talents like Kylian Mbappe ($21; +110), Neymar ($20; +120), Angel Di Maria ($16; +210), Edinson Cavani ($12; +170) and Bruno Fernandes ($19; +180) at a lower draft percentage. I lean toward the PSG side in this game and will try to get one of Neymar and Mbappe in a lot of my lineups, though Neymar struggled against Aaron Wan-Bissaka in the earlier meeting.
Added time -- Club Brugge are +110 to win versus Zenit and will almost surely fly under the radar due to the star power everywhere else. Emmanuel Dennis ($13; +180) has the best goal odds on the team among expected starters. Hans Vanaken ($15; +210) has five goals and five assists in league play and has been the team's chief penalty taker. ... For Zenit, Artem Dzyuba ($17; +160) -- who is a late fitness call -- has seven goals and three assists in league play and should be on penalties.
Juan Cuadrado ($15; +240) has excellent anytime goal odds for a defender and is a great piece for any Juve stacks. He's been immense in UCL play this campaign, tallying four assists in four matches. Cuadrado is one card away from a one-match ban, though, so he might be benched Wednesday with an eye on the group stage finale against Barcelona.
If Cuadrado sits, Alex Sandro ($13) and Danilo ($12) would likely be Juve's full-backs. Sandro offers more going forward, creating two chances in his lone UCL appearance this season, but Danilo is averaging 14.3 FanDuel points per game in the group stage.
Sergino Dest ($9) is my favorite play at defender. He has been one of Barcelona's better players early on this season and is a creative force from right-back. He scored a goal at Dynamo in his last UCL match and has generated at least two shot-creating actions in six of his eight starts this season across all competitions, per FBRef.
Ferencvaros and Dynamo, the slate's biggest underdogs, should offer up some low-salary defenders who have a decent floor. Marcel Heister ($6) and Abraham Akwasi Frimpong ($6) are listed as probable starters for Ferencvaros. Denys Popov ($9) and Illia Zabarnyi ($9) are expected to start for Dynamo.
Added time -- As I touched on earlier, Aaron Wan-Bissaka ($12) was on his game in the first PSG-United fixture. He totaled 14.3 FanDuel points in that one, all from defensive actions, and should be busy again versus Neymar. There's not much attacking upside with AWB, but the defensive floor is palatable for the salary. ... Sevilla's three top-salaried defenders have all been good fantasy producers in this group stage. Jesus Navas ($13) is my pick of the bunch, but Sevilla may field a weakened squad as they've already qualified.
The top win odds belong to Wojciech Szczęsny ($15), and he checks a lot of boxes.
Not only are Juve -380 to win, Szczęsny is -122 to keep a clean sheet, and both of those clips are slate-best marks by some distance. On the negative, Szczęsny has only two clean sheets in nine matches this season across all competitions, so he and Juve's defense haven't been in good form. This is unquestionably a get-right spot, though, and he's worth the salary.
Neto ($14) and Roman Burki ($13) are the other two keepers with good win odds. Neto -- who is +146 to keep a clean sheet -- is starting in place of Marc-Andre Ter Stegen. Burki has kept a clean sheet in every UCL match this campaign except for one, which was the first encounter with Lazio, when BVB shipped three goals. Burki likely won't be as popular as Szczęsny is, and his clean-sheet odds (+182) aren't too shabby.
If you're cool with taking on some risk, Club Brugge's Simon Mignolet ($9) is +205 to keep a clean sheet -- the best odds outside of the three aforementioned goalies -- and is +110 to win.
Added time -- Edouard Mendy ($11) has been outstanding for Chelsea, and he'll likely be an afterthought in a difficult matchup at Sevilla. However, the Blues are slight +145 favorites even with the expectation that they'll rotate their squad. I probably won't go here, but this isn't a bad bet-on-talent play at what will probably be a low draft percentage.