Premier League Betting Guide for 7/7/20
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Watford vs. Norwich
Norwich +1 (no push) +125
Norwich are fairly large underdogs against Watford, and you can get plus odds on them to simply draw or win on Tuesday.
Yes, Norwich are last in the league. But Watford are only seven points clear of Norwich, and the Hornets have been held to six wins all season long -- an 18.18% win rate. If we go to expected goal differential, the gap between Watford and Norwich is miniscule. Watford are 3.1 expected goals ahead of Norwich by that measure, according to FBRef.
This projects to be an evenly matched game, so I like the betting value on the Norwich side.
Arsenal vs. Leicester
Leicester to win +210
Arsenal have been on a bit of a roll, winning each of their last three games, but it is still surprising to see them favored in this one. Leicester are nine points ahead of the Gunners in the table, and they are 17.5 goals better by expected goal difference.
The Gunners have had no success against the current top-four teams in the league, going 0W-1D-4L in those matches, including a 2-0 loss to Leicester earlier in the season. Despite Arsenal's mini winning streak, there is no reason to believe the Gunners have turned the corner against top competition. Getting Leicester City at over 2-1 odds is a steal and a great betting opportunity.