DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for Bundesliga Matchday 31
The Bundesliga is coming down the home stretch with just four Matchweeks left in the season. Saturday's main slate on DraftKings has five games on it, with one big favorite standing out above the rest. Let's look at the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Fortuna Düsseldorf +700||+430||Dortmund -290|
|Hertha Berlin +105||+270||Eintracht Frankfurt +240|
|Wolfsburg -145||+300||Freiburg +380|
|Köln +105||+240||Union Berlin +270|
|Paderborn +210||+260||Werder Bremen +120|
Forwards to Target
Jadon Sancho ($12,500): Sancho will cost you a pretty penny if you want to roster him, but he could be worth it. He finally returned to the starting eleven two games ago, and bagged a hat trick. Sancho has had a wonderful season at the age of just 20, with 17 goals and 16 assists. His 33 goal contributions are tied for the most in the Bundesliga with Robert Lewandowski and Timo Werner, but Sancho has played over 400 minutes less than those two forwards, per WhoScored.com. Sancho is unique for a high-priced forward in that he will accrue points in many different ways.
In addition to having so many goals and assists, he also has a role on set pieces. He has anytime goal scoring odds of better than even money, and if sportsbooks offered betting on assists, he would probably be around the same odds for that. Sancho is a tough fit in cash games with his salary, but offers nearly unmatched upside in tournaments as Dortmund are expected to win fairly easily over a weak Fortuna Düsseldorf team.
Wout Weghorst ($7,400): Weghorst is a goal-scoring center forward who comes in at the middle of the forward pricing tier. He has 12 goals in the league this season, only bested by four players. His Wolfsburg side are the second biggest favorites behind a Dortmund team that is popular with the general public, so he might go overlooked. The matchup with Freiburg is a good one, as they allow the most shots per game.
This suits Weghorst quite well, with him having nine shots in his past two games. Weghorst also has favorable goal-scoring odds, especially for a forward at his price. He offers good upside for tournament lineups.
Kai Pröger ($6,900): Paderborn needs to win this relegation battle against Werder Bremen to have any hope of survival. Pröger will have to be their main creative force if they want to get something out of this match. He leads the team with six assists and also the most crosses with 181. He had nine crosses against a tough RB Leipzig and now faces Werder, who allow the most crosses per game in the Bundesliga. They've also conceded the most goals in the league, so Pröger will also have a good chance at an assist. Pröger is definitely a good piece for cash games at the forward position.
Midfielders to Target
Filip Kostić ($9,000): Kostić did his thing last game against Mainz, with 16 crosses. DraftKings was nice enough to give us a discount on Kostić, as his price came down $1,000 despite him performing reasonably well and not having too tough of a matchup against Hertha Berlin. In fact, it's a pretty good one for Kostić's skill set, as Hertha allows the third most crosses per game and are the fifth-worst possession team in the league. Frankfurt may be underdogs, but it's not like they are playing one of the juggernaut teams at the top of the table. Take the discount and make the easy choice to play Filip Kostić on this slate.
Christopher Trimmel ($7,000): Another accumulator type of play is Christopher Trimmel of Union Berlin. He is capable of putting crossing games like Kostić, with at least 12 crosses in four of five games since the league restart. Trimmel gets a near-monopoly of Union's corner kicks, taking 103 of their 112 corners, according to Rotowire. He also gets a ton of open play crosses from his wingback position, aimed towards one of Union's tall forwards. Trimmel and Kostić have very high floors, and can be used as building blocks for cash games.
Jonathan Schmid ($4,400): Schmid would be a cheap option at midfield, suiting up for Freiburg. He has been able to contribute in a number of different ways. He has been lining up at right-back instead of in the midfield, which should give him more opportunities to cross. So far, he has 93 crosses on the season. It's hard to find a player with that many crosses for this cheap price. Schmid also averages over one shot and one foul drawn per 90 minutes, which gives him a decent floor for his price. He's a salary relief play that should add something to your lineup and allows you to get more expensive players.
Defenders to Target
Ludwig Augustinsson ($5,200): Augustinsson was back last week, making his first start in the league since play resumed. He was back to doing what he does best, with nine crosses and four shot assists. He has a share of set pieces for Werder Bremen, and his share could increase depending on the availability of Milot Rashica and Leonardo Bittencourt. Augustinsson has been known as an attacking fullback for years, both for his clubs and Sweden.
However, this season has been his best since joining Werder, with 5.51 crosses per 90 minutes and 1.91 chances created per 90. It's rare to be able to get a defender who will attack like Augustinsson without paying a premium, and he is down to the seventh most expensive defender. He is worth the $5,200 price tag in all formats.
Peter Pekarík ($4,200): Pekarík is a cheap defender who could get some crosses for Hertha Berlin. He's not the most attacking full-back but does 3.67 crosses per 90 and over one chance created per 90 as well. Hertha have been good defensively under new coach Bruno Labbadia, keeping clean sheets in three of five matches. The games where they weren't able to keep clean sheets were against top tier teams Dortmund and RB Leipzig. They should have a decent chance to do it against Frankfurt, which would give Pekarík three bonus points.
Markus Suttner ($3,800): Suttner is worth mentioning because of his wild game last week. He had a stunning 21 crosses in Düsseldorf's draw against Hoffenheim. However, we should not overreact to that performance, as Hoffenheim played with ten men from the ninth minute onward. Suttner only has 76 crosses total this season, so those 21 are nearly a third of that total.
Now, he'll have to face Dortmund in a tougher matchup, especially if Dortmund keep all eleven men on the pitch for the whole game. Having said that, Suttner is not the worst defender play for just $3,800. Fantasy owners should just manage expectations and not consider him a lock by any means just based on his last game.
Goalkeepers to Target
Roman Bürki ($5,800): The goalie on the biggest favorite this week is Roman Bürki of Dortmund. He's been a solid keeper, winning 17 of his 27 appearances in the league. He hasn't allowed more than one goal in a Bundesliga match in his last nine games. Dortmund odds for a clean sheet are the best on the slate, against a Düsseldorf squad that has tied for the second-fewest goals in the league this season.
Leopold Zingerle ($4,600): Zingerle was supposed to be the whipping boy last week, but turned out to be solid. He allowed one goal and made three saves, and didn't get blown out by RB Leipzig like the odds were suggesting. He now faces the lowest-scoring team in the league in Werder Bremen, who could be without two of their most dangerous attackers in Milot Rashica and Leonardo Bittencourt. Zingerle is a good way to spend a little less on the goalkeeper position.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.