Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 32
Following the international break, EPL action is set to resume this weekend with a full slate of games.
Using FanDuel Sportsbook as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from Paddy Power, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Leicester City vs Bournemouth
Leicester City to win -125
Leicester City have been a better overall team than Bournemouth this season, holding a three-point lead over them in the league table. The three-point lead may be modest, but the Blue Foxes also own a superior goal difference by a total of 10 goals and they rank five places ahead in WhoScored.com’s team rankings.
Leicester’s home form has been dramatically better than Bournemouth’s away form this season, as Leicester earned 20 points in 15 home games with an even goal difference, while Bournemouth have a poor away record with only 12 points in 15 matches and a -20 goal differential. Leicester are the overall superior side, and their home field advantage should be enough to propel them to a victory in this match.
Liverpool vs Tottenham
Liverpool to win -175
Liverpool are decent favorites to win this game, but they have more than earned that right given they are first place in the standings (although they do own a game in hand over Man City). Jurgen Klopp’s side are particularly dominant at home, where they own a 13W-2D-0L record that is good for an 86.7% win rate.
Tottenham had been on the periphery of the title hunt until recently, but they have completely fallen apart as of late. Spurs have earned only one point in their last four matches, including losses to lowly Burnley and Southampton. Even their one point was controversial as they benefited from a Harry Kane offsides goal against Arsenal.
Spurs are playing extremely poorly at the moment and facing Liverpool away from home does not seem like a recipe for them to break out of their slump.
West Ham vs Everton
West Ham to win +150
West Ham are two places ahead of Everton in the standings, and yet they are extremely modest favorites at home against the Toffees.
West Ham own an 8-3-5 home record (50% win rate) compared to Everton’s 4-3-8 away record (53.3% loss rate). This trend, combined with the Hammers' superior place in the standings, would indicate that West Ham have at least a 50% chance to win this weekend, and their odds should be much closer to even. West Ham to win at +150 is a good value bet for this weekend.