Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 23
Tottenham slipped up at home last week against Manchester United, but they should be expected to bounce back this week against Fulham.
Using FanDuel Sportsbook as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from Paddy Power, and you cancheck here to see their most updated numbers.
Wolves vs Leicester
Leicester +1 (no push) -155
Most metrics would measure Leicester as a slightly superior team to Wolves so far this season. The Foxes are two points ahead in the table, six goals ahead on goal difference and rank four spots higher in WhoScored.com’s team rankings.
Despite this, Wolves are a slight favorite in this game due to home-field advantage. However, Leicester's away record of 5W-2D-4L is superior to Wolves’ home record of 4-2-5, so even with home field, it seems that Wolves should be the underdogs in this matchup -- or at least it should be a pick'em.
Watford vs Burnley
Burnley +1 (no push) +140
Burnley got off to a putrid start this season, but they are finally starting to improve, having won three consecutive league games. Burnley have outshot their opponents, 44-32, in these matches, so their recent success seems to be more than just a fluke.
On the flip side, Watford are only 5-5-8 since their four-game winning streak to open the season. They’re winning just 27.8% of their games during that span, so expecting them to get three points in any match seems at least slightly optimistic.
Fulham vs Tottenham
Tottenham to win -140
Tottenham are only modest favorites in this game due to Fulham’s home field advantage as well as the absences of Harry Kane and Son Heung-min, two of Spurs key cogs. But even without those two, the gap in talent between these sides is too large to overlook.
Spurs are a hefty 34 points ahead of Fulham in the table, and they are 53 goals ahead of Fulham on goal difference. Not only that, but Tottenham are 10-0-2 away from home, so their level of play has actually been better away from Wembley so far this season.
Fulham possess nowhere near the quality that Tottenham do, and even though they are short-handed, Spurs should be a much larger favorite than -140.