FanDuel Premier League Matches to Target in Matchweek 23
A total of seven Premier League games will be played on Saturday with all of them featured on the FanDuel main slate. Only two of the top-six teams will be featured on the slate, so the relegation battle will be a bigger chunk of the discussion.
|Saturday, January 13th|
|Burnley at Crystal Palace|
|Southampton at Watford|
|West Ham at Huddersfield|
|Brighton at West Brom|
|Everton at Tottenham|
|Swansea City at Newcastle|
|Leicester at Chelsea|
Overall, the bookies expect a low-scoring set of games on Saturday with four of the seven matches having an over/under set at 2.0 goals. Chelsea and Tottenham are the biggest favorites, with Newcastle getting a slight edge over Swansea City. Chelsea and Tottenham will likely have plenty of players in FanDuel lineups on Saturday, but the matches involving bottom-of-the-table clubs have more appeal.
Let's get to it.
Huddersfield vs. West Ham
Huddersfield is in 11th place, but they are only two points ahead of West Ham and four points out of the relegation zone. Both of these teams have taken points from four of their last five matches with just one loss over the festive period.
There will be good value on the West Ham side as they deal with a lengthy injury list. Marko Arnautovic has been on a hot streak, but he is dealing with a new injury. Andre Ayew and Manuel Lanzini will be asked to aid the lead striker in breaking down the Huddersfield defense. Lanzini is the most expensive player in this match, but he averages nearly 18 points per game. Ayew is $7,000.
West Ham have been scoring at a better clip in recent away games, which has allowed them to move just outside the relegation zone. They have scored seven goals in their last three away matches after tallying just six goals in the previous nine. They will need their rejuvenated attack against a good Huddersfield defense.
Huddersfield defender Christopher Schindler leads the team in FanDuel points per match. He is coming off a 30-fantasy-point game against Leicester and has been the leader of the Huddersfield back line all season. The Terriers have played a bend-but-don't-break style, averaging less than 50% of possession but allowing a little under 12 shots per match.
Meanwhile, West Ham allow the second-most shots per game in the league. Huddersfield midfielder Aaron Mooy, who averages close to 20 points per match, should be able to spend time on the ball and find good looks on goal.
Spells of possession should change hands often in this fixture. Neither team averages more time on the ball than their opponents. These teams combined for 29 shots in the previous meeting, with Huddersfield owning the possession but West Ham finding more scoring opportunities.
These teams need points every match with how close the bottom-10 teams are in the table. If you believe in six pointers, this match qualifies as one and so does our next contest.
Watford vs. Southampton
This fixture, along with Huddersfield versus West Ham, is one of the few on the slate with a top projection that both teams will score. Both Watford and Southampton have allowed more than 30 goals and have negative goal differentials, which makes a clean sheet by either side less likely.
The last time these teams met at Vicarage Road in a Premier League fixture it finished 4-3 to Southampton. Watford's Troy Deeney and Abdoulaye Doucoure each scored a goal in that one and should have a prominent role in this match, as well. However, it is Richarlison who has been the danger man for Watford much of the season.
tout comme Gabriel jesus il s'adapte a la Premier league
c'est le genre de joueur qui casse une defense par ses dribbles
en pls les dÃ©fenseurs font bcp de faute sur lui c'est tres dure de lui prendre la balle sans faire de faute
( chelsea ðŸ”) pic.twitter.com/epa7CPeZBP
â€” CHAMPIONS CFCâš¡ðŸ‡¨ðŸ‡® (@LariCoulibaly) November 20, 2017
Richarlison has 22 shots in the penalty area since Matchweek 13. He has scored or assisted on 46% of Watford's goals and now faces a side that has allowed 55 shots on target in the past nine games. That is second only to Stoke City.
Southampton are obviously struggling, but Watford is not without their own concerns. Watford have 2 wins in their last 10 matches across all competitions, which includes a four-match losing streak. Aside from shutting out lower-division Bristol City this past weekend in the FA Cup, the Hornets had not posted a clean sheet since November 25th. Watford have allowed 11 goals in their last five Premier League matches.
Nathan Redmond is the biggest threat for Southampton, having scored four goals in five matches against Watford. He has added one assist, as well.
Watford have seen more than 2.5 total goals in eight of their last nine home matches against Southampton. Watford have scored in their last six home matches and are only five points off the bottom three. That should give this game a similar feel to the match above, allowing for back-and-forth, wide-open play.
Douglas Smith is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Douglas Smith also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username aquemini03. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.